Monday, October 30, 2006

Paul Krugman’s Remarks at New America Foundation Economic Conference


DISCLAIMER: These notes were taken by NDN’s James Crabtree from Paul Krugman’s opening address to the New America Foundation’s “Back to the Economy” conference on Monday October 30th 2006. They are notes only, not a written speech circulated by Mr. Krugman. Any quotes taken should make clear that this is not a verbatim or official transcript.
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'Where is the economy? If you look at the last 6 years, the official history is misleading. We had a very brief recession in 2001, and the recovery began in November of that year. But in practice it didn’t feel that way. We had sluggish growth and lost jobs up to 2003. What felt like a recovery didn’t start until mid-2003.

Since then the expansion has been ok, but not great. The unemployment rate has fallen largely because the fraction of the adult population looking for a job has fallen. Wages are nowhere. Profits are spectacular. Top shares of income – best as we can tell – fell fairly steeply at the beginning of the decade, but came roaring back post 2003.

Lots of talk of tax revenue coming back up, much more quickly than anyone expected. There is a way to think about this. Look at the early years of the Bush economy, and revenue fell by much more than you can explain by the policies. The fall of revenue of was c4% of GDP, despite tax cuts being only 2%. We think this is mostly because of lower capital gains receipts. Now we have just made up that ground. So revenue is now a little bit below what you might have thought it would have been without the previous fall. Overall it isn’t that big a thing.

How did the tax receipts go up? Look at the CBO monthly budget report. What it says is that corporate profits taxes have gone up 28%. Nonwithheld individual income tax is up a lot too, at c17%. This is mostly capital gains on executive bonuses. On the other hand social insurance receipts are up only 5%, which is slower than usual. Basically there has been a large redistribution of income to the top.

In general economic terms we are off the map - in two ways on (1) housing and (2) the trade deficit. Because we are off the map, we are struggling to use our fundamental understanding of economics, and some dubious number crunching, to make sense of a situation that doesn’t look like anything we’ve seen before.

1. Housing. Adjusted for inflation house prices are up 50% by 2000. If this was the end of the story you could just about justify this in terms of lower interest rates and other things. But that isn’t the right comparison. It depends on where you look. 1/3rd of the US lives in areas of land scarcity and restrictive zoning. 2/3rds live elsewhere, where land is plentiful. In these “flat lands” the price of houses doesn’t respond to demand much. Home prices in Houston haven’t risen. In the rest of the nation, that 1/3rd. you find that house prices are up 80 – 100%. Here it really does look like a bubble. People have extrapolated from rising prices that things will keep rising. The result is a surge in housing demand, with huge impact on the economy. Residential constructions was up to 6.3% of GDP, up from c4%. This is clearly a bigger GDP stimulus than all of the bush tax cuts.

2. Trade Deficit. We finance our deficit by borrowing. This cannot go on indefinitely. Stein’s law – re: Herbert Stein – “if something cannot go on forever it will stop.” If this happens then any kind of scenario will have to involve a substantial fall in the dollar. And the markets are not taking this into account. Inflation adjusted bond rates seem incorrectly priced, compared to the EU or Japan. Some bonds are being bought by foreign based banks for non-market reasons. But many are not. So the market, if it took the dollar decline into account, would price this in. There will be a Wily Coyote moment. When? I would have said the answer was two years ago, so I’ve been wrong before. But it will happen at some point.

So here is the economic problem. We have a big trade deficit and a highly inflated housing sector. One result has been that we’ve lost a lot of manufacturing jobs – which are tradable – but we’ve made that up in domestically orientated employment. (Among other things this has included a c50% increase in real estate jobs.) Eventually this will slide back, and we’ll see more jobs in manufacturing if exports pick up. The thing is that the transition will be unlikely to be smooth.

What will happen? If you asked me a year ago I thought the Wiley Coyote moment would lead to a rise in interest rates, and then a collapse in the housing boom. Then the question would be could exports rise to take up the slack? But this hasn’t happened. What is actually happening is that housing is falling first, without any fall in the dollar. This is what is reflected in the GDP figures. The last quarter was pretty bad – and probably worse than the figures suggest. There are several parts of that report which look implausible. Automobile production, for instance, is unlikely to be going up at a 26% annual rate.

Where do we go from here? I’ve never seen economists disagreeing so much. Not about what will happen in 1 year, but what will happen in the 4th quarter, which we are half way through. Some people say rebounding. Some say worse is to come. The reason for this is conflicting trends. Housing is falling like a stone. Maybe it has hit bottom. But probably not. The fundamentals still look like housing has a long way down to go. The norm for housing construction is c4%, its now down to 5.7% down from above 6%. So I think housing will be much worse.

But as Larry Summers like to say “you don’t have to fill a flat tire through a hole.” There are reasons for optimism. Business investment is still good. Construction spending is up. (A lot of this is hotels.) Consumer spending is still going up, until and unless they revise the numbers down.

Overall, I’m with the pessimists. But I’m not sure how solid my ground is. It is really hard to say. The odds are that consumer spending will take a hit from current trends. Whether it is a formal recession or not, I don’t know. Meryl Lynch project a sharp rise in unemployment over the next year. Oddly, this is quite consistent with no fall in output. But it would feel like a recession.

The thing to be worried about is the difficulty of a policy response. We normally count on the Fed to respond. (Bernanke, on the whole, has had his judgment on rates vindicated.) But if this turns nasty, what will the Fed do? They will cut rates. And will this help? Where is the traction on the real economy? The problem is that rate cuts stimulate the economy mostly through the housing and construction market. In truth, business investment is not sensitive to the Fed and consumers don’t respond. Housing is where the rubber meets the road. So that is a worry.

Also, there is a hint at least in the latest data the productivity boom is losing steam. There is a hint that we had our big tech-driven productivity boom. If that is true, that will make everything more difficult in the decade ahead. A lot of people are saying that we might need to put potential growth down half a point. '

Dry Loop - aka: "Naked DSL"

Dry-loop -aka- Naked DSL?


Cory Doctorow: on BoingBoing - www.digitalnoir.com

Dry-loop DSL is a new service being rolled out by telcos across the USA. It's a DSL line without phone-service, and in an era of mobile phones and VoIP, that sounds like a good idea. Land-line? What land-line

Of course, it's not that easy -- the phone companies don't want you to ditch dino-phone service, so you need a good HOWTO before you embark on your dry-loop odyssey. The Eat Our Brains group-blog has a great post on how to game the system:

It took me almost an hour to reach a live Verizon rep who could talk to me about it. They make it as hard as possible to change over. They charge an extra $5 a month for your DSL connection if you don't have a land-line. You have to put your DSL service on a credit card, rather than pay for it on a phone bill. Tragically, they haven't figured out how to bill you for DSL, I suppose. You have to turn off both services, then start up your DSL service anew, with a two-week gap in between.

Here's how to game their system:

First, since it's technically a new DSL service if you do this, you qualify for promotions and rebates as a new customer. Dell, for instance, offers a $100 rebate if you order Verizon DSL through them. (Similar rebates with other DSL providers, incidentally, and you don't have to buy a computer to get the deal.)

Saturday, October 28, 2006

The Essential Krugman: The Arithmetic of Failure

The Essential Krugman: "The Arithmetic of Failure"


Paul Krugman: NY Times Op-Ed

"Iraq is a lost cause. It’s just a matter of arithmetic: given the violence of the environment, with ethnic groups and rival militias at each other’s throats, American forces there are large enough to suffer terrible losses, but far too small to stabilize the country. ...

Afghanistan, on the other hand, is a war we haven’t yet lost, and it’s just possible that a new commitment of forces there might turn things around.

The moral is clear — we need to get out of Iraq, not because we want to cut and run, but because our continuing presence is doing nothing but wasting American lives. And if we do free up our forces ..., we might still be able to save Afghanistan.

The classic analysis of the arithmetic of insurgencies is a 1995 article by James T. Quinlivan, an analyst at the Rand Corporation. “Force Requirements in Stability Operations” ... looked at the number of troops that peacekeeping forces have historically needed to maintain order and cope with insurgencies.

Mr. Quinlivan’s comparisons suggested that ... in some cases it was possible to stabilize countries with between 4 and 10 troops per 1,000 inhabitants. But examples like the British campaign against communist guerrillas in Malaya and the fight against the Irish Republican Army in Northern Ireland indicated that ... a difficult environment could require about 20 troops per 1,000 inhabitants. The implication was clear: “Many countries are simply too big to be plausible candidates for stabilization by external forces,” Mr. Quinlivan wrote. ...

Iraq is a cauldron of violence, far worse than Malaya or Ulster ever was. And that means that stabilizing Iraq would require a force of at least 20 troops per 1,000 Iraqis — that is, 500,000 soldiers and marines.

We don’t have that kind of force. The combined strength of the U.S. Army and Marine Corps is less than 700,000 — and the combination of America’s other commitments plus the need to rotate units home for retraining means that only a fraction of those forces can be deployed for stability operations at any given time. Even maintaining the forces we now have deployed in Iraq ... is slowly breaking the Army.

Meanwhile, what about Afghanistan? ... If Afghanistan were in as bad shape as Iraq, stabilizing it would require at least 600,000 troops — an obvious impossibility.

However, things in Afghanistan aren’t yet as far gone as they are in Iraq, and it’s possible that a smaller force — one in that range of 4 to 10 per 1,000 ... — might be enough to stabilize the situation. But right now, the forces trying to stabilize Afghanistan are absurdly small: we’re trying to provide security to 30 million people with a force of only 32,000 Western troops and 77,000 Afghan national forces.

If we stopped trying to do the impossible in Iraq, ... we and the British ... might still do some good. But we have to do something soon: the commander of NATO forces in Afghanistan says that most of the population will switch its allegiance to a resurgent Taliban unless things get better by this time next year.

It’s hard to believe that the world’s only superpower is on the verge of losing not just one but two wars. But the arithmetic of stability operations suggests that unless we give up our futile efforts in Iraq, we’re on track to do just that.

Fake boarding pass guy reports he was visited by FBI - UPDATED
Friday, Nov. 27th, 2006 - BoingBoing Website




UPDATED BELOW.

Christopher Soghoian, who created the Fake Boarding Pass Generator website, claims to have been visited by FBI agents this afternoon at his home in Bloomington, Indiana, according to a security researcher with whom he was instant-messaging at the time.



This news comes just hours after Rep. Edward Markey (D-MA) called for Soghoian's arrest, and for the takedown of his website, which generates phony Northwest Airlines boarding passes to illustrate an airline security weakness documented on the 'net since 2003.



Calls and emails I made to the 24-year-old computer science student after learning of the reported FBI visit were not returned.

An iChat transcript provided to BoingBoing shows Soghoian claimed the FBI was at his door between 345 and 350pm PST. He stopped responding to incoming IM messages at that time, and has not responded to other incoming messages since.


FBI special agent Wendy Osborne declined to confirm whether Soghoian had been visited or if an investigation was taking place, citing FBI policy, but said "We will confirm that he has not been arrested."


Soghoian's Fake Boarding Pass Generator website was taken offline today, but other content on the same domain is still accessible.



Soghoian's personal web page states that he is a PhD student at Indiana University's School of Informatics in Bloomington. According to an online copy of his resume, he has interned for Google since June, 2006, and in 2004 served for a semester as a teaching aide to Avi Rubin, a computer science professor at Johns Hopkins who exposed security vulnerabilities in Diebold's electronic voting machines. Reached by phone this evening, Avi Rubin confirmed to BB that Soghoian served as his teaching assistant for one Spring, 2004 semester in a "Security and Privacy in Computing" class at Johns Hopkins University.



UPDATE: Ryan Singel at Wired News has been following this story, also, and has a report here: FBI Says No Arrest of Boarding Pass Hacker. Snip:

While the boarding pass generator, which was intended to point out flaws in airport security, is gone, other portions of Soghoian's website, dubfire.net, are still live. Soghoian's computer still registers as being online according to Google chat, indicating that the feds have not probably not confiscated his computer.


See also this earlier Wired News story by Singel, Boarding Pass Hacker Under Fire. Snip:
"I want Congress to see how stupid the (Transportation Security Administration)'s watch lists are," he said. "Now even the most technically incompetent user can click and generate a boarding pass. By doing this, I'm hoping (Congress) will see how silly the security rules are. I don't want bad guys to board airplanes but I don't think the system we have right now works and I think it is giving us a false sense of security."

BACKGROUND -- Previous posts on BoingBoing:


* Congressman wants fake boarding pass guy arrested


* Website generates fake boarding passes



UPDATE, 840pm PT:

The "Slight Paranoia" blog credited to Chris Soghoian now contains two posts which reference an FBI visit:


3:54pm PT

FBI at the Door

The FBI are at the door.
Off to chat.



7:12PM


Post FBI Visit


The FBI visited. They handed me with a written order to remove the boarding pass generator. By the time we were somewhere with internet access, the website had already been taken down. I am now safe (and no longer with the FBI). Still trying to find a lawyer.....


If you want to help, a good start would be to email Congressman Markey - who initially called for my arrest.



Soghoian's Blogger profile indicates that he is also credited as a co-author of this blog, where the Fake Boarding Pass Generator was announced in this post. Soghoian details the security vulnerabilities that inspired him to write the php Generator here on "Slight Paranoia:" Link.



He is hardly the first or only person to have pointed out this flaw. Over a year ago, in February 2005, my NPR "Day to Day" colleague Andy Bowers wrote a piece for Slate.com titled "A Dangerous Loophole in Airport Security," which was also blogged here on BoingBoing. In the Slate essay, Bowers described the same security loophole which Soghoian's "Generator" demonstrates in code.


And two years before that, security expert Bruce Schneier outlined the problem in an issue of Crypto-Gram Newsletter item titled "Flying on Someone Else's Airplane Ticket," dated August 15, 2003.


Assuming that Schneier was the first to publish an outline of the security vulnerability -- that's more than three years during which the problem has been publicly known, but not resolved by either the airlines or government.



"The only way for these kind of problems to get fixed, are through through public full disclosure," Soghoian wrote when releasing the Fake Boarding Pass Generator. "TSA/DHS cannot be expected to fix anything unless they are publicly shamed into doing so."




posted by Xeni Jardin at 05:31:03 PM
permalink | Other blogs' comments

Friday, October 27, 2006

Mehlman & The Southern Strategy


Josh Marshall from Talking Points Memo - Oct. 2006

"Again, let's be honest with ourselves. Racism is one of the key building blocks of Republican politics in the United States. Don't look at me with a straight face and tell me you don't realize that's true. That doesn't mean that all Republicans are racists. Far from it. It doesn't mean that a lot of Republicans don't wish the stain wasn't part of their party's recent political heritage. They do. But racism and race-baiting is the hole card Republicans take into every election. When times are good, guys like Mehlman 'reach out' to blacks and Latinos to try to take the edge off their opposition to the Republican officeholders. But when things get rough the card gets played. And pretty much every time.

This isn't surprising. It's expected.

For years on this site I've been saying that Democrats need to learn the meta-message behind Republican attack ads, especially on issues like terrorism and national security. Begging the refs to throw a flag in response to a vicious ad only telegraphs the message of weakness that was the aim of the attack in the first place. And in recent days not a few of you have written in to say, 'Josh, you always say Dems should not complain but hit back. So why are you turning the sites over to complaining full time about the Tennessee ads against Ford?'

It's a good question. And there's certainly a tension there, if not an outright contradiction. But here's my response.

I see the two cases as fundamentally dissimilar. When it comes to GOP race-baiting, calling them out, revealing them for who they are and what it is they do, is fighting back. It's that simple. The dynamics of the issues are fundamentally different.

There are different visions in this country. There's one which for all its faults and shortcomings aspires to a national unity that transcends our many differences of race, religion, gender, sexual orientation, etc. and an equal share of dignity for all of us. Then there's the school of division and demonization. (Take a look at the ads GOP campaigns are running across the country. The issue of the day is keeping out the Mexicans.) That's the Ken Mehlman school, the tradition of Willie Horton ads and Jungle Music pasted over Harold Ford because these guys are afraid they may be about to lose an open seat in Tennessee, where they haven't sent a Democrat to the senate for almost two decades. It must be a reality that Mehlman appreciates with some measure of inner tension or conflict since gays have been the whipping boys of choice through much of the Bush years even as he himself has been, successively, White House political director, Bush Campaign Manager and head of the RNC. But then we all make our beds.

The point is that as vile as this race-hucksterism is, for my part I welcome the opportunity that Republican desperation provides, to show these guys for who they really are. Scratch the surface of 'outreach' Mehlman and he's a Southern strategy man after all. So, fine, bring it on. Cut away the veil and the mask. Let everyone come out from under their rock and be who they really are. "

Wednesday, October 25, 2006

North Korea Facts, McCain et al Fiction


Slate.com - Oct. 24th, 2006

"Sen. John McCain has skidded his Straight Talk Express off the highway nto a gopher's ditch of slime. The moment came Tuesday, when he responded to charges by Sen. Hillary Clinton, his potential rival in the 2008 presidential election, that George W. Bush bears some responsibility for North Korea's newborn status as a nuclear-armed power.

Here, according to the Washington Post, is what McCain said in a campaign speech near Detroit:

I would remind Senator Clinton and other Democrats critical of Bush administration policies that the framework agreement her husband's administration negotiated [with North Korea] was a failure. Every single time the Clinton administration warned the Koreans not to do something—not to kick out the IAEA inspectors, not to remove the fuel rods from their reactor—they did it. And they were rewarded every single time by the Clinton administration with further talks.

McCain's version of history goes beyond "revisionism" to outright falsification. It is the exact opposite of what really happened. Let's take a look at the plain facts.

In the spring of 1994, barely a year into Bill Clinton's presidency, the North Koreans announced that they were about to remove the fuel rods from their nuclear reactor (as a first step to reprocessing them into plutonium), cancel their commitment to the Non-Proliferation Treaty(which they had signed in 1985), and expel the international weapons inspectors (who had been guarding the rods under the treaty's authority).

Did Clinton "reward" them for doing these things, as McCain claims? Far from it. Not only did he push the U.N. Security Council to consider sanctions, he also ordered the Joint Chiefs of Staff to draw up plans to send 50,000 additional troops to South Korea—bolstering the 37,000 already there—along with more than 400 combat jets, 50 ships, and several battalions of Apache helicopters, Bradley fighting vehicles, multiple-launch rockets, and Patriot air-defense missiles. He also sent in an advance team of 250 soldiers to set up logistical headquarters for the influx of troops and gear.

He sent an explicit signal that removing the fuel rods would cross a "red line." Several of his former aides insist that if North Korea had crossed that line, he would have launched an airstrike on the Yongbyon reactor, even knowing that it might lead to war.

At the same time, Clinton set up a diplomatic backchannel, sending former President Jimmy Carter to Pyongyang for direct talks with Kim Il-Sung, then North Korea's dictator and the father of its present "dear leader," Kim Jong-il. (The official Washington line held that Carter made the trip on his own, but a recent memoir by three former U.S. officials, Going Critical: The First North Korean Nuclear Crisis, acknowledges that Clinton asked him to go.)

This combination of sticks and carrots led Kim Il-Sung to call off his threats—the fuel rods weren't removed, the inspectors weren't kicked out—and, a few months later, to the signing of the Agreed Framework.

McCain called the accord a "failure." This appraisal isn't quite as dead wrong as his claim that Clinton did nothing but toss Kim flowers. But it's highly misleading, to say the least.

The Agreed Framework of Oct. 21, 1994—a document that many cite but almost nobody seems to read—actually bottled up North Korea's nuclear program for eight years. Under its terms, Pyongyang kept the fuel rods locked up and kept the international inspectors on-site. In exchange, a multinational consortium, led by the United States and South Korea, was to provide North Korea with two light-water reactors to generate electricity. Gradually, Washington and Pyongyang were to establish diplomatic and trade relations. In an annex to the accord, drafted by the consortium and signed by all parties in June 1995, it was agreed that the nuclear fuel from the light-water reactors would be exported to a third country for recycling. (This, by the way, is what President Bush and Russian President Vladimir Putin recently proposed that Iran do with its nuclear fuel.)

The accord fell apart, but not for the reasons that McCain and others have suggested. First, the U.S.-led consortium never provided the light-water reactors. (So much for the wild claims I've heard lately that North Korea got the bomb through Clinton-supplied technology.) Congress never authorized the money; the South Koreans, who were led by a harder-line government than the one in power now, scuttled the deal after a North Korean spy submarine washed up on their shores.

Second, when President George W. Bush entered the White House in January 2001, he made it clear, right off, that the Agreed Framework was dead and that he had no interest in further talks with the North Korean regime; his view was that you don't negotiate with evil, you defeat it or wait for it to crumble.

Third, a few months into Bush's term, evidence mounted that the North Koreans had been … not quite violating the Agreed Framework but certainly maneuvering around it. Confronted by U.S. intelligence data in October 2002, Pyongyang officials admitted that they'd been enriching uranium—an alternative route (though much slower than plutonium) to getting a bomb.

It should be noted that the bomb that the North Koreans set off on Sunday was apparently a plutonium bomb, not a uranium bomb. In other words, it was a bomb made entirely in Bush's time, not at all in Clinton's."

Campaign Ad's 2006


Note: Some well done, some overcooked, some raw, and some even pigs wouldn't touch
  • Body Armor: Vets vs Sen. Allen
  • GOP National Ad: America Weakly
  • DNC National Ad: Osama - Dead or Alive
  • Tester's Ad: "Conrad Burns' Summer Vacation
  • Santorum's: "Corner Bar"
  • Katherine Harris: "I'm..."
  • Folksie Democratic Ad Collection
  • Dirty Campaign Ads Hannity and Colmes
  • Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton Campaigns In New York Part 2
  • 2006 Texas Democratic Convention Impeach Bush Resolution #1
  • RNC Ad: "The Stakes are too high"
  • Democratic candidate in Colorado: Funny Impersonation
  • War in Iraq
  • Jim Webb (Virginia Senate Dem) Calls for Tax Break for Vets
  • Mark Taylor's Ad for Governor of Georgia
  • Sonny Perdue's Ad for Governor of Georgia

  • Tuesday, October 24, 2006

    Getting Out: Your Guide to Leaving America


    From BoingBoing Website: Oct. 24th, 2006
    posted by Mark Frauenfelder at 12:21:10 PM

    A few weeks ago I bumped into a freelance writer I know, Mark Ehrman. He told me about a new book he'd just finished writing for Process, a new publishing company headed up by Adam Parfrey (founder of Feral House publishing). The book is called Getting Out: Your Guide to Leaving America, and it's for US citizens who are thinking about moving to another country. I've lived in several countries besides the US, so this book interests me.

    Now that habeas corpus and other basic rights, including the right not to be tortured while interrogated, have now been deemed unnecessary, more Americans than ever have been thinking of getting out the door while they still can. Getting Out: Your Guide to Leaving America (Process Books, January 2007) provides an informed consideration for all potential expats: where to go, how to get there, and how to live best outside the U.S.

    An emigrant to Berlin himself, author Mark Ehrman breaks down the top 50 expat countries and offers true-life tales from American expatriates worldwide, documenting their experiences and compiling all the best tricks to help the process go as smoothly as possible.

    Getting Out is the second volume in Process’ Self-Reliance Series, a new series aimed at helping urbanites make smart choices to live sustainably and self-sufficiently in the 21st century

    Monday, October 23, 2006

    Iraq is/is not like Vietnam

    ( Please add your is/isn't in Comments...)
    A: It is because:
  • in both wars our enemy knows who we are; but we didn't know who they are - we can't identify them in a crowd
  • Gulf of Tonkin Resolution vs WMD claims - both were fabricated pretexts for war
  • America assisted both Saddam -(vs Iran) & Ho Chi Minh (vs Japan) in earlier military conflicts against common foes
  • America military power was focused on regime change - but the replacement regime never had the support of the people
  • official corruption was rappant in Vietnam and in Bagdad
  • the US Government kept promising victory to citizens long after it was obvious the war could not be won on our terms
  • Vietnam gave us the My Lai scandal; Iraq gave us Haditha & Abu Ghraib
  • In both wars, World opinion was against American intervention, at the inception
  • the Sec's. of Defense were acclaimed for their intelligence, wisdom, and strategic planning long after it was obvious their plans failed
  • protestors against the Vietnam and Iraqi wars were largely liberal Democrats - Republicans mostly supported both wars
  • in both wars, there was essentially no support offered to America by neighboring regimes: China with Vietnam - or Iran, Syria, Turkey with Iraq

    B: It is not because:
  • America casualities in Vietnam came primarily from close combat fighting; in Iraq they come mainly from IED's and car bombs
  • Vietnam made extensive use of helicopters, very little APC's or tanks; Iraq uses Humvees and very few helicopters
  • the average soldier was either a NG or voluntary enlistee in Iraq; in Vietnam many were draftees
  • Vietnam wounded were twice as likely to die from their injuries compared to OIF soldiers
  • American contractors in Iraq had no equal in Vietnamese operations
  • one hears, sees, and reads nothing about 'short-time girls' in Iraq - in Vietnam it was as common as rain
  • Iraq was a much more modern society, pre-invasion, than Vietnam which was feudal
  • ethnic/religious/tribal social segmentation typical in Iraq was mostly absent in Vietnam
  • Iraq has huge oil reserves; Vietnam has almost none
  • to dissidents, Vietnam was seen as a war by proxies; in Iraq it was an imperial intervention

  • Sunday, October 22, 2006

    It's time to face harsh reality in Iraq

    It's Time to Face Harsh Reality in Iraq


    By Jay Bookman
    The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
    Monday 16 October 2006

    "It's over.

    American troops are still fighting and dying in Iraq and will be for months to come as we try to extricate ourselves from this mess, but it's over.

    The U.S. Army may be planning ways to keep 140,000 troops in Iraq until at least 2010, but it's over. It's just over.

    What we're doing in Iraq cannot be sustained, not militarily and not politically, and after the election a lot of people are going to start saying so. They'll say so if the Democrats take control of one or both chambers of Congress, and they'll say so if Republicans remain in control.

    Because it's over, and everyone knows it.

    In Baghdad, 65 percent of Iraqis now support an immediate pullout of U.S. forces from their country, according to a U.S. government poll. A second poll, conducted by the University of Maryland, found that 71 percent of Iraqis want us gone within a year, and more than 60 percent of Iraqis support attacks on the U.S. troops who are fighting and dying to try to protect them.

    That number says it's over. It is impossible to win a counterinsurgency in which 60 percent of the people you're supposed to be helping want to see your soldiers dead.

    Our allies know it's over, too. In Britain, Prime Minister Tony Blair is being forced from office largely because of his support for the war. And last week, Britain's top general publicly advocated withdrawal of British troops from Iraq for redeployment to Afghanistan, where they are badly needed and victory is still possible.

    "I am a soldier speaking up for his army," Gen. Sir Richard Dannatt told the press. "I am just saying, 'Come on, we can't be here forever at this level.' "

    Here at home, public support for the war has disappeared as well. In a Gallup poll, 66 percent of Americans disapprove of how President Bush is handling Iraq. In a CNN poll, 62 percent oppose the war.

    The most telling numbers, though, come from a poll by the Institute for Southern Studies, based in Durham, N.C. Its survey of 13 Southern states found that 56 percent of Southerners believe that U.S. troops should be partially or completely withdrawn from Iraq, which is about the sentiment of the nation as a whole. Eighty-nine percent of Southerners say they are a little to very saddened about the war; only 12 percent say they are proud of the war.

    When you've lost even the South, it's over. Pretending that we can sustain our effort in Iraq for several more years with such meager support here at home is sheer fantasy.

    Our best political leaders, Republican and Democratic alike, know that, too. U.S. Sen. John Warner (R-Va.), chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, returned recently from Iraq and said that if trends aren't reversed in two or three months, it will be time to change course, with all options on the table. James Baker, the Republican chairman of a bipartisan commission expected to issue its report on Iraq after the election, says the same.

    "I think it's fair to say our commission believes that there are alternatives between the stated alternatives, the ones that are out there in the political debate, of 'stay the course' and 'cut and run,' " Baker said.

    And of course, the facts on the ground say it's over as well. U.S. troop levels are at the highest level since the invasion. We've scavenged soldiers and Marines from other parts of Iraq to focus on Baghdad, and we now claim hundreds of thousands of Iraqi troops trained and ready to help.

    Yet with all that, the number of attacks in Baghdad keeps rising, the number of U.S. deaths continues to increase, the civilian death toll is still soaring and the Iraqi government is incapable of taking action. Last week, Shiite and Kurdish members of Iraq's Parliament passed legislation creating a process for splitting the nation into pieces. They know it's over, too.

    President Bush, of course, continues to bluster.

    "When you pull out before the job is done, that's cut-and-run as far as I'm concerned," he said last week.

    Our president can't even work up the courage it would take to acknowledge his mistakes. He lacks the guts.

    By clinging to the fantasy that this is still workable, he and his dwindling circle of supporters may hope to dump the blame for its collapse on those who force a change of course, but it's not going to work.

    He chose this war. He chose the means by which it was fought. Congress and the American people gave him everything he asked, and it's over.

    Now, men and women better than he is will step in and try to clean up his mess.

    Till Debt Do Us Part?


    Families were once the great protector against risk. No more.
    By Jacob S. Hacker, a professor of political science at Yale University and a fellow at the New America Foundation, is the author of "The Great Risk Shift: The Assault on American Jobs, Families, Health
    October 22, 2006

    Amid the hype about the birth of the 300 millionth American last week, a bigger population milestone was largely ignored. For the first time, according to the Census Bureau, households headed by single people outnumber those headed by married ones.

    It may seem unromantic, but marriage has always been a vital economic institution as well as a social one. A marriage is, among many things, a contract to secure the welfare of an economic unit that, in most cases, includes children. The tale of the last generation is how the value of that contract has declined, while its costs and risks have increased — and how the vaunted nuclear family has suffered as a result.

    Consider personal bankruptcy, one of the nation's biggest growth sectors of the last 20 years. In 2001, married people with kids were twice as likely to file for bankruptcy as single adults or childless couples. Even married couples without children were slightly more likely to file for bankruptcy than single adults.

    Families also were more likely to lose their homes than were married couples without children or than single adults — during an era in which foreclosure rates have skyrocketed. They also were much more likely to be behind on their credit card bills. And they were drowning in debt, with their median debt substantially exceeding their median annual income (according to the Federal Reserve Board's 2004 Survey of Consumer Finances), a level of debt not seen among any other household type.

    Clearly, something is financially amiss with the once rock-solid American family. But what? Why hasn't the rising number of two-earner families protected more Americans from the risks of financial disaster?

    The answer lies ultimately in a simple fact: To most families, a second income is not a luxury but a necessity in a transformed economy. The world has not stood still, after all, as women have entered the workforce. Wages for men have basically flat-lined. Although the unemployment rate has been low, the job market has become more uncertain, with roughly as large a share of workers involuntarily losing their jobs every three years as during the steep economic downturn of the early 1980s. The difficulty of balancing work and family has increased. And the costs of housing, education, healthcare and child care have exploded.

    It is families that have born the brunt of these economic changes, and families that falter when, as is too often the case, the strain proves too much. The family used to be a refuge from risk. Today, it is the epicenter of risk. And, increasingly, families are a source of risk as well.

    Because it takes more work and more income to maintain a middle-class standard of living, financial shocks are more threatening for families. What happens when a woman leaves the workforce to have children? What happens when a child is chronically ill? What happens when a spouse loses his or her job? And what happens when families fall apart?

    We are not used to thinking of children as an economic liability, but the facts are clear. According to 2005 calculations by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, raising a child to age 18 will cost almost $237,000 for a middle-income family. And that leaves out the upward-spiraling college tuition that is now a required ticket for admission into the middle class. Fully one-quarter of "poverty spells" — periods in which family income drops below the federal poverty line — begin with the birth of a child.

    Spouses, of course, do not equally share the investment of time and money that raising children entails. Women still mostly care for the child — and bear the greatest cost. Their careers are most likely to be disrupted by family events. If they work, their jobs are most likely to be low-paying and with poor benefits. And they are most disadvantaged when families fall apart.

    According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the probability of a first marriage ending in divorce or separation within 10 years rose from about 14% in the early 1950s to more than 30% by the late 1980s, where it's largely remained. This isn't just an American problem: Across the Western world, divorce has become more common when and where women have gained greater economic autonomy. Yet, the financial effects of divorce on families — and especially on women — can nonetheless be devastating. In a two-earner world, parents raising kids mostly or entirely on their own face truly dire circumstances.

    What's more, women who work longer hours are more likely to divorce than women who work fewer hours or don't have a job. This is a new — and striking — development: In the 1960s and 1970s, two-earner couples and one-earner couples were about equally likely to break up. By the 1980s, however, two-earner couples were about 40% more likely to break up.

    Strong families are the backbone of strong societies. And yet, they do not magically emerge. They take hard work and commitment, and they require investments — of love, of course, but also time and money. As the family has become the epicenter of risk, these investments have become more uncertain.

    Yet U.S. families have been left to manage these risks without any of the common supports working families abroad enjoy — such as paid leave to have a child. Among 14 rich Western democracies, the United States ranks dead last in supporting mothers with children 6 or younger. More than 160 nations in the world offer paid family leave. Although a few states in the U.S. offer paid disability leave, the country as a whole does not, making it the only rich nation besides Australia (which guarantees all women a year of unpaid leave) without such a policy.

    Forming a family and having kids is the most personal of decisions. Yet it's a decision that has profound benefits for society as a whole. Americans do need to make the right choices for their families. But they shouldn't have to choose between economic security and getting married and having kids.

    The Essential Krugman: Incentives for the dead

    The Essential Krugman: "Incentives for the dead"


    by Paul Krugman, Stock Options Commentary, NY Times:

    "I don’t know about you, but I need a break from political scandals. So let’s talk about private-sector scandals instead — specifically, the growing scandal involving backdated stock options...

    To understand the issue, we need to go back to the original ideological justification for giant executive paychecks. In the 1960’s and 1970’s, C.E.O.’s of the largest firms were paid, on average, about 40 times as much as the average worker. But executives wanted more — and professors at business schools provided a theory that justified much higher pay.

    They argued that a chief executive who expects to receive the same salary if his company is highly profitable that he will receive if it just muddles along won’t be willing to take risks and make hard decisions. ...

    The claim, then, was that executives had to be given more of a stake in their companies’ success. And so corporate boards began giving C.E.O.’s lots of stock options... If the stock went up, these options would pay off; if the stock went down, they would lose their value. And so, the theory went, executives would have the incentive to do whatever it took to push the stock price up.

    In the 1990’s, executive stock options proliferated — and executive pay soared, rising to 367 times the average worker’s pay by the early years of this decade. But the truth was that in many — perhaps most — cases, executive pay still had little to do with performance. For one thing, the great bull market of the 1990’s meant that even companies that didn’t do especially well saw their stock prices rise.

    Then there were the tricks that companies used... For example, after a downward move in the stock price, ... the price at which the executive had the right to buy stocks would be reduced to the new market price. Heads the C.E.O. wins, tails he gets another chance to flip the coin.

    What the backdating scandal reveals is that for many executives even that wasn’t enough. To ensure that executives profited from newly issued options, companies would pretend that the options had in fact been issued at an earlier date, when the stock price was lower. ...

    What’s wrong with backdating stock options? There’s a tax evasion aspect, but the main point is the bait-and-switch. The public was told that gigantic executive paychecks were rewards for exceptional performance, but in practice executives were lavishly paid simply for showing up at the office.

    And in some cases even that wasn’t required. Cablevision Systems gave options to a deceased executive (in other words, to his heirs), backdating them to make it appear that he had received them while still alive.

    The moral of the story is that we still haven’t come to grips with the epidemic of corporate misgovernance revealed four years ago by the Enron and WorldCom scandals, then drowned out as a political issue by the clamor for war with Iraq. Even now, we’re still learning how deep the rot went.

    And there’s no reason to believe that the problem has been solved. ...[E]xecutive compensation, which fell briefly after the Enron and WorldCom scandals, has shot right back up.

    So we’re still waiting for serious corporate reform. And don’t tell me that everything must be O.K. because stocks have been rising lately. Remember, they rose even faster in the 1990’s — and the 1920’s.

    Friday, October 20, 2006

    Showdown Over Habeas


    Sen. Patrick Leahy
    September 26, 2006

    Sen. Patrick Leahy is the ranking Democratic member of the Judiciary Committee. This is the text of his statement to the panel from Monday, September 25, 2006.
    <------------------------------------->

    "For weeks now, politicians and the media have breathlessly debated the fine points and political implications of the so-called "compromise" on proposed trial procedures for suspected terrorists. In doing so, we have ignored a central and more sweeping issue. Important as the rules for military commissions are, they will apply to only a few cases. The administration has charged a total of 10 people in the nearly five years since the president declared his intention to use military commissions, and it recently announced plans to charge 14 additional men. But for the vast majority of the almost 500 prisoners at Guantánamo, the administration’s position remains as stated by Secretary Donald Rumsfeld three years ago: It has no interest in trying them.

    Today we are belatedly addressing the single most consequential provision of this much-discussed bill, a provision that can be found buried on page 81 of the proposed bill. This provision would perpetuate the indefinite detention of hundreds of individuals against whom the government has brought no charges and presented no evidence, without any recourse to justice whatsoever. That is un-American, and it is contrary to American interests.

    Going forward, the bill departs even more radically from our most fundamental values. It would permit the president to detain indefinitely—even for life—any alien, whether in the United States or abroad, whether a foreign resident or a lawful permanent resident, without any meaningful opportunity for the alien to challenge his detention. The administration would not even need to assert, much less prove, that the alien was an enemy combatant; it would suffice that the alien was "awaiting [a] determination" on that issue. In other words, the bill would tell the millions of legal immigrants living in America, participating in American families, working for American businesses, and paying American taxes, that our government may at any minute pick them up and detain them indefinitely without charge, and without any access to the courts or even to military tribunals, unless and until the government determines that they are not enemy combatants.

    Detained indefinitely, and unaccountably, until proven innocent. Like Canadian citizen Maher Arar. As the Canadian government recently concluded in a detailed and candid report, there is no evidence that Mr. Arar ever committed a crime or posed a threat to U.S. or Canadian security. Yet, while returning home to Canada from a family vacation, he was detained, interrogated, and then shipped off to a torture cell in Syria by the Bush-Cheney administration. While the Canadian government has now documented that the wrong thing was done to the wrong man, the Bush-Cheney administration has, as usual, evaded all accountability by hiding behind a purported state secrets privilege.

    The administration’s defenders would like to believe that Mr. Arar’s case is an isolated blunder, but it is not. Numerous press accounts have quoted administration officials who believe that a significant percentage of those detained at Guantánamo have no connection to terrorism. In other words, we have been holding for several years, and intend to hold indefinitely without trial or any recourse to justice, a substantial number of innocent people who were picked up by mistake in the fog of war.

    The most important purpose of habeas corpus is to correct errors like that. It is precisely to prevent such abuses that the Constitution prohibits the suspension of the writ of habeas corpus "unless when in Cases of Rebellion or Invasion the public Safety may require it." I have no doubt that this bill, which would permanently eliminate the writ of habeas for all aliens within and outside the United States whenever the government says they might be enemy combatants, violates that prohibition. And I have no doubt that the Supreme Court would ultimately conclude that this attempt by the Bush-Cheney administration to abolish basic liberties and evade essential judicial review and accountability is unconstitutional.

    It would be utterly irresponsible for Congress to neglect our oath to the Constitution and the American people and pass this unconstitutional legislation in the hope that the court will ultimately rescue us from our folly. Doing so would only undermine the War on Terror by prolonging the legal limbo into which the administration has dragged the entire regime of military detentions.

    We should have put military detentions on a solid legal footing and established military tribunals four years ago. I introduced a bill in 2002 to authorize military commissions. So did Senator Specter. But the White House and the Republican leadership ignored us, choosing instead to roll the dice and hope that it could prevail on its radical go-it-alone theories of presidential power.

    The Bush-Cheney administration got a rude awakening earlier this year in the Hamdan case. The Supreme Court—which happens to include seven Republican appointees in its nine justices—affirmed what we had told it all along: when the terrorists brought down the Twin Towers on 9/11, they did not bring down the rule of law on which our system of government is founded. They did not supplant our republican form of government with one in which an unaccountable executive can imprison people forever without trial or judicial review.

    On its way to losing that case, the administration wasted four years. Actually, it did more than waste four years. Just yesterday the press reported what the administration has been misrepresenting to the American people and what was apparently confirmed in a National Intelligence Estimate: That the invasion and continuing U.S. military presence in Iraq has created a new generation of anti-American terrorists, that the terrorist threat against the U.S. has grown and, according to intelligence officials, that the Iraq war has "made the overall terrorism problem worse." Meanwhile, having failed to try a single detainee, and having failed to secure a conviction of a single terrorist offense, the administration is demanding that we pass a bill it drafted last week before the end of this week.

    The administration’s sudden and belated haste to move ahead makes no sense, other than as a matter of crass electoral politics. We are taking a first look at a bill that the administration claims is central to the decisive ideological battle of the 21st Century, a bill that would suspend habeas corpus for the first time since the Civil War, and a bill that, if enacted, will almost certainly be used by America’s enemies as a pretext for the torture and indefinite detention without judicial review of Americans abroad.

    If the administration and the Republican leadership of the Senate believe that suspending the writ is constitutional and justified, they should grant the joint request that Chairman Specter and I made last week for a sequential referral of the bill. Constitutional issues involving the writ of habeas corpus are at the center of this Committee’s jurisdiction. We can and should review this legislation thoroughly, and if a few habeas petitions are filed in the meantime, we will not lose the War on Terror as a result of those filings. If this Congress votes to suspend the writ of habeas corpus first and ask questions later, liberty and accountability will be the victims."

    WTF !! McCain's torture comment on Chris Matthews' College Tour: Oct 18th, 2006


    “And at the same time, I think you do understand that there are some people who are very, very bad people, and I think that to continue a program for some of them, without torture, is something that we can't deprive the President of the United States of. But I think we struck the right balance, and I can assure you I would never agree to anything that I believe could allow torture. I promise you that.”

    McCain's floor speech in support of the Military Commission Act


    “For these reasons, this bill makes clear that the United States will fulfill all of its obligations under those {Geneva} Conventions. We expect the CIA to conduct interrogations in a manner that is fully consistent not only with the Detainee Treatment Act and the War Crimes Act, but with all of our obligations under Common Article 3 of the Geneva Conventions."

    McCain is "not familiar with the habeus corpus provision of the Military Commission Act


    John McCain was outside ABC studios Sunday morning, September 17, 2006.

    Sam Husseini: People have also criticized the Warner plan. For example, The Center for Constitutional Rights says that it, as well as the Bush plan, have provisions that would "prevent anyone taken into US custody anywhere in the world, past or present, innocent or not, from ever having their case heard in a court of law." Are you familiar with that provision of the Warner legislation?

    Sen. John McCain: No, I'm not, I'm not familiar with that. I'm not familiar with that.


    McCain's 'Pricipled Stand' - From the Village Voice

    - Nat Hentoff, Oct 2006

    "Yet, on announcing the deal with the White House, presidential aspirant McCain declared: "The agreement we've entered into gives the president the tools he needs to fight the war on terror and bring these evil people to justice. There is no doubt that the integrity and spirit of the Geneva Conventions has been preserved." (Emphasis added.)

    As he gracefully acknowledges applause around the country for his principled determination in forcing the president into a "compromise," McCain may be hearing, in his inner ear, a future military band playing "Hail to the Chief" only for him. The senator's patriotism gets to remain intact because Bush approvingly says the compromise preserves "the CIA program to question the world's most dangerous terrorists and to get their secrets." The "black sites" live on."

    National Yawn as Our Rights Evaporate


    By Keith Olbermann
    MSNBC Countdown
    Wednesday 18 October 2006

    New law redefines habeas corpus; law professor explains on "Countdown."

    On Tuesday, "Countdown" host Keith Olbermann talked to Jonathan Turley, a constitutional law professor at George Washington University about a new bill signed by President Bush that redefines the right of habeas corpus.

    Read the transcript below.

    History does not play well at this White House. Expressionless faces would probably greet references to how John Adams ended his political career by insisting he needed the Alien and Sedition Acts to silence his critics in the newspapers, or how Franklin D. Roosevelt's executive order to seize Japanese-Americans during World War II necessitated a formal presidential apology eight presidents later.

    But even so, somebody probably should have told President Bush that today was the exact 135th anniversary, to the day, that President Grant suspended habeas corpus in much of South Carolina for the noble and urgent purpose of dispersing the Ku Klux Klan and making sure the freed slaves had all their voting rights, neither of which has yet truly occurred. It is your principal defense against imprisonment without charge and trial without defense thrown away for no good reason, then and now.

    Our fifth story on "Countdown": President Bush, happy Habeas Corpus Day.

    First thing this morning, the president signed into law the Military Commissions Act of 2006, which does away with habeas corpus, the right of suspected terrorists or anybody else to know why they have been imprisoned, provided the president does not think it should apply to you and declares you an enemy combatant.

    Further, the bill allows the CIA to continue using interrogation techniques so long as they do not cause what is deemed, quote, "serious physical or mental pain." And it lets the president to ostensibly pick and choose which parts of the Geneva Convention to obey, though to hear him describe this, this repudiation of the freedoms for which all our soldiers have died is a good thing.

    President Bush: This bill spells out specific, recognizable offenses that would be considered crimes in the handling of detainees, so that our men and women who question captured terrorists can perform their duties to the fullest extent of the law. And this bill complies with both the spirit and the letter of our international obligations.

    Olbermann: Leading Democrats view it differently, Senator Ted Kennedy calling this "seriously flawed," Senator Patrick Leahey saying it's, quote, "a sad day when the rubber-stamp Congress undercuts our freedoms," and Senator Russ Feingold adding that "We will look back on this day as a stain on our nation's history."

    Outside the White House, a handful of individuals protested the law by dressing up as Abu Ghraib abuse victims and terror detainees. Several of them got themselves arrested, but they were apparently quickly released, despite being already dressed for Gitmo.

    To assess what this law will truly mean for us all, I'm joined by Jonathan Turley, professor of constitutional law at George Washington University.

    I want to start by asking you about a specific part of this act that lists one of the definitions of an unlawful enemy combatant as, quote, "a person who, before, on, or after the date of the enactment of the Military Commissions Act of 2006, has been determined to be an unlawful enemy combatant by a combatant status review tribunal or another competent tribunal established under the authority of the president or the secretary of defense."

    Does that not basically mean that if Mr. Bush or Mr. Rumsfeld say so, anybody in this country, citizen or not, innocent or not, can end up being an unlawful enemy combatant?

    Johathan Turley, George Washington University Constitutional Law Professor: It certainly does. In fact, later on, it says that if you even give material support to an organization that the president deems connected to one of these groups, you too can be an enemy combatant.

    And the fact that he appoints this tribunal is meaningless. You know, standing behind him at the signing ceremony was his attorney general, who signed a memo that said that you could torture people, that you could do harm to them to the point of organ failure or death.

    So if he appoints someone like that to be attorney general, you can imagine who he's going be putting on this board.

    Olbermann: Does this mean that under this law, ultimately the only thing keeping you, I, or the viewer out of Gitmo is the sanity and honesty of the president of the United States?

    Turley: It does. And it's a huge sea change for our democracy. The framers created a system where we did not have to rely on the good graces or good mood of the president. In fact, Madison said that he created a system essentially to be run by devils, where they could not do harm, because we didn't rely on their good motivations.

    Now we must. And people have no idea how significant this is. What, really, a time of shame this is for the American system. What the Congress did and what the president signed today essentially revokes over 200 years of American principles and values.

    It couldn't be more significant. And the strange thing is, we've become sort of constitutional couch potatoes. I mean, the Congress just gave the president despotic powers, and you could hear the yawn across the country as people turned to, you know, "Dancing with the Stars." I mean, it's otherworldly.

    Olbermann: Is there one defense against this, the legal challenges against particularly the suspension or elimination of habeas corpus from the equation? And where do they stand, and how likely are they to overturn this action today?

    Turley: Well, you know what? I think people are fooling themselves if they believe that the courts will once again stop this president from taking over - taking almost absolute power. It basically comes down to a single vote on the Supreme Court, Justice Kennedy. And he indicated that if Congress gave the president these types of powers, that he might go along.

    And so we may have, in this country, some type of uber-president, some absolute ruler, and it'll be up to him who gets put away as an enemy combatant, held without trial.

    It's something that no one thought - certainly I didn't think - was possible in the United States. And I am not too sure how we got to this point. But people clearly don't realize what a fundamental change it is about who we are as a country. What happened today changed us. And I'm not too sure we're going to change back anytime soon.

    Olbermann: And if Justice Kennedy tries to change us back, we can always call him an enemy combatant.

    The president reiterated today the United States does not torture. Does this law actually guarantee anything like that?

    Turley: That's actually when I turned off my TV set, because I couldn't believe it. You know, the United States has engaged in torture. And the whole world community has denounced the views of this administration, its early views that the president could order torture, could cause injury up to organ failure or death.

    The administration has already established that it has engaged in things like waterboarding, which is not just torture. We prosecuted people after World War II for waterboarding prisoners. We treated it as a war crime. And my God, what a change of fate, where we are now embracing the very thing that we once prosecuted people for.

    Who are we now? I know who we were then. But when the president said that we don't torture, that was, frankly, when I had to turn off my TV set.

    Olbermann: That same individual fell back on the same argument that he'd used about the war in Iraq to sanction this law. Let me play what he said and then ask you a question about it.

    President Bush: Yet with the distance of history, the questions will be narrowed and few. Did this generation of Americans take the threat seriously? And did we do what it takes to defeat that threat?

    Olbermann: Does he understand the irony of those words when taken out of the context of this particular passage or of what he perceives as the war against terror, and that, in fact, the threat we may be facing is the threat of President George W. Bush?

    Turley: Well, this is going to go down in history as one of our greatest self-inflicted wounds. And I think you can feel the judgment of history. It won't be kind to President Bush.

    But frankly, I don't think that it will be kind to the rest of us. I think that history will ask, Where were you? What did you do when this thing was signed into law? There were people that protested the Japanese concentration camps, there were people that protested these other acts. But we are strangely silent in this national yawn as our rights evaporate.

    Olbermann: Well, not to pat ourselves on the back too much, but I think we've done a little bit of what we could have done. I'll see you at Gitmo. As always, greatest thanks for your time, Jon.

    Thursday, October 19, 2006

    And what is more important, truth or beauty?


    Rev. Virginia Child on UCCHRISTNET
    Oct. 18th, 2006

    "As one who experienced systematic exclusion throughout my youth and young adulthood, until blunt, ugly and inclusive words took over from beautiful exclusion, I set my priorities in a slightly different place.

    Yes, some of the inclusive stuff is awkward; learning to think in a different way, a way which which automatically thinks that "all are welcome" means all are welcome, is as difficult as learning a new musical instrument can be, and it is particularly so for those who are not convinced that it is all that important to learn to play that tune.

    None of the young men in my high school, senior year, had any problem with understanding the note on the Mechanical Drawing class door that said "all are welcome." I did, though, when the teacher stood in that door and barred my entrance because I was clearly not a male, and only boys were welcome to learn in his class. I guess he thought "draftsman" meant "drafts-MEN". Dumb me, I thought it was a generic term for people who drew architectural stuff.

    So when folks started using the word "draftsperson", awkward as it sounded, I thought it was beautiful because it represented a reality which had not existed fifteen years before when I was a high school senior.

    I will always opt for truth over beauty, and work to tell that truth in an increasingly beautiful way."

    Bush signs torture bill; Americans lose essential freedom


    SF Gate Online
    Oct. 18th, 2006

    George W. Bush got what he wanted, ostensibly as a tool in his unfocused "war on terror": By signing into law the Military Commissions Act of 2006, Bush has made it legal for the C.I.A. to continue operating torture facilities in undisclosed, foreign countries, and for the writ of habeas corpus to be suspended for individuals who are designated "enemy combatants" against the U.S. The law also "establishes military tribunals that would allow some use of evidence obtained by coercion [that is, torture], but would give defendants access to classified evidence being used to convict them." (Reuters)

    Bush's torture bill purports to "protect America," even though it appears to be designed to help protect Republicans instead

    The provisions of Bush's new torture law mean that Americans have lost the key, constitutional right on which Anglo-American criminal law (and criminal-law procedures in true democracies in general) is founded; that's the basic right of an individual to know why he or she is being apprehended and detained. Now, technically, as in Stalin's Soviet Union, Hitler's Germany, Mao's China or Pol Pot's Cambodia, anyone labeled an "enemy combatant" - again, by whom; by Bush? - can be whisked away and never heard from again. That kind of authority, in the hands of corrupt or untruthful politicians, may or may not be an effective tool in some kind of "war on terror," but it certainly can be a useful tool when it comes to silencing their opponents.

    "Officially, the Military Commissions Act protects detainees from blatant abuses during questioning, such as rape, torture and 'cruel and inhuman' treatment, but it does not require that any of them be granted legal counsel....Bush said that it was 'fair, lawful and necessary.'" (Times)

    During the bill-signing ceremony yesterday, religious groups protested outside the White House. Demonstrators declared, "Bush is the terrorist" and "Torture is a crime."

    In an Orwellian pronouncement dutifully reported by Voice of America, the taxpayer-funded "news" service that acts as a mouthpiece for the administration, Bush said: "The United States does not torture....It is against our laws and it is against our values. By allowing the C.I.A. program to go forward, this bill is preserving a tool that has saved American lives." Bush's claim flies in the face of numerous reports of torture conducted by American officials at U.S. military prisons or secret locations overseas. (See Human Rights Watch)

    China's Xinhua, the state-controlled news agency of a country that knows a thing or two about suppressing human rights, reports: "Of the hundreds of detainees being jailed at the U.S. military prison at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, only ten have been selected for trial. The indefinite detention of others has been condemned by human-rights groups as violating international law." Xinhua adds: "Some or all of the 14 suspects held by the C.I.A. in secret prisons [outside the U.S.] and recently transferred to military custody at Guantánamo might also be tried."

    Xinhua observes: "Three weeks before the midterm congressional elections, [Bush's] signing of the bill was believed to be a deliberate move aimed to shift public attention...from the scandals that could cost Republicans their control of Congress."

    Sen. Hillary Clinton gave a speech on this topic on the Senate floor. (Video here.)

    Santorum: Iraq = LOTR


    Senator Rick Santorum compares Iraq to "Lord of the Rings":

    "As the hobbits are going up Mount Doom, the Eye of Mordor is being drawn somewhere else. (...) It's being drawn to Iraq and it's not being drawn to the U.S. You know what? I want to keep it on Iraq. I don't want the Eye to come back here to the United States."

    <------------------------------------->
    Reader comment: Dan Armak says,

    I thought you might want to post this explanation of what the Senator's allegory actually means for the benefit of readers who aren't familiar with LOTR.

    In the LOTR, to draw the Eye away from Mordor, Gandalf and Aragorn led the army of Gondor to the Gates of Mordor to draw out Sauron's army and let Frodo sneak past them. This, they knew, was a suicidal move. As Gandalf said: "We must make ourselves the bait .... We must walk open-eyed into that trap, with courage, but small hope for ourselves." (Chapter IX, 'The Last Debate')

    So the Senator is saying the US soldiers in Iraq are bait. They're there to die, just to keep terrorists' attention away from the US for a while.

    Bob Ney, Guilty but Still at Capitol


    Doug Mills/The New York Times
    By PHILIP SHENON
    Published: October 19, 2006

    WASHINGTON, Oct. 18 — Representative Bob Ney is headed to prison early next year after pleading guilty to charges of accepting tens of thousands of dollars in illegal gifts from lobbyists. Until then, Mr. Ney, a six-term Republican from Ohio, has a comfortable place to bide his time.

    Mr. Ney’s brass nameplate remained Wednesday on the wall outside his office in the Rayburn building just across the street from the Capitol.

    His Congressional office — the one that he has effectively acknowledged selling to the highest bidder — is open for business.

    “The office of Congressman Bob Ney,” his telephone receptionist said in a cheery voice Tuesday morning, as if nothing had happened to her boss, the first member of Congress to confess to crimes involving the corrupt lobbyist Jack Abramoff.

    So you think Foley was the only one?

    Wednesday, October 18, 2006

    Common Good Progressivism


    The Progress Report
    by Judd Legum, Faiz Shakir, Nico Pitney
    Amanda Terkel and Payson Schwin
    October 18, 2006

    Fifteen years ago, then-Governor and candidate for President, Bill Clinton, articulated a unifying vision for America and its role in the world. Delivered in three historic addresses at Georgetown University, Clinton's call for a "New Covenant" outlined a vision invested in the common good. "I believe with all my heart," Clinton said, "that the only way we can hold this country together and move boldly into the future is to do it together with a new covenant...a solemn agreement between the people and their government to provide opportunity for everybody, inspire responsibility throughout our society and restore a sense of community to our great nation."

    Over the course of his eight years as president, Clinton delivered the nation its longest economic expansion in history, created over 21 million new jobs, moved from record deficits to record surplus, increased home ownership, lowered poverty rates, strengthened environmental protections, and promoted strong international alliances and partnerships that promoted peace, prosperity, and democracy across the globe. Today, Clinton returns to Georgetown University to commemorate that successful vision and to deliver an address at the "Securing the Common Good" conference. Led by the Center for American Progress, the conference aims to unite and motivate progressives around a simple philosophical argument that should inform our politics: progressives seek to secure the common good.

    WHAT DOES IT MEAN?: Common good progressivism does not mean that everybody will be the same or receive the same material benefits. Rather, it simply means that people should start from a level playing field and have a reasonable chance to improve their stations in life. American Progress Senior Fellow John Halpin and Joint Fellow Ruy Teixeira explained, "Securing the common good means putting the public interest above narrow self-interest and group demands; working to achieve social and economic conditions that benefit everyone; promoting a personal, governmental and corporate ethic of responsibility and service to others; creating a more open and honest governmental structure that relies upon an engaged and participatory citizenry; and doing more to meet our common responsibilities to aid the disadvantaged, protect our natural resources, and provide opportunities rather than burdens for future generations."

    That philosophy enjoys a deep, rich tradition in American history. Thomas Jefferson, in his first inaugural address to the nation, said Americans living within our constitutional framework should "arrange themselves under the will of the law, and unite in common efforts for the common good." Political leaders from James Madison (whose guidance to secure the public good from dangerous factions remains valuable today) to Teddy and Franklin Roosevelt have used principles of common good progressivism to shape their notions of government and craft some of our countries most important and lasting policies. And, faith leaders like Martin Luther King, Jr. have drawn on the principle of common good to guide people towards more thoughtful consideration of their own actions and values.

    A PHILOSOPHY THAT HASN'T WORKED: Six years ago, President George W. Bush entered office with the mantra of "compassionate conservatism." Bush's proclaimed governing philosophy soon exposed its true core: a heavy dose of conservatism with hardly a faint whiff of compassion. Instead of instilling a sense of common good and sacrifice after the attacks of 9/11, Bush has instead promoted the concept of self-reliance by enacting tax cut after tax cut. “Nothing is more important in the face of a war than cutting taxes,” declared former Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-TX).

    The New York Times wrote that soldiers on the battlefield "quietly raise a question for political leaders: if America is truly on a war footing, why is so little sacrifice asked of the nation at large?" "Compassionate conservatism" has spawned a government of corruption, cronyism, and greed. It has turned a blind eye to a greater moral responsibility on the part of political leaders, instead placing crass political gains over core ethical principles. Most recently, former White House deputy for faith-based initiatives, David Kuo, revealed that the White House never put much money or muscle behind Bush's "compassionate conservatism."

    A BREAK FROM INDIVIDUALISM: The right's morally bankrupt philosophy -- which the wordsmiths have dubbed the "ownership society" -- focuses heavily on individualism, negates the role of the helping hand of government, and leaves many Americans owning more burdens and fewer opportunities. The results have been painful: poverty rates are climbing, 46 million Americans lack health insurance, college tuition is skyrocketing; meanwhile, the richest one percent own more wealth than the bottom 90 percent combined and corporate profits -- particularly those of oil companies -- are at a record high. "After years of conservative dominance defined by rampant individualism, corruption and greed in American life, the public is ready for a higher national purpose and a greater sense of service and duty to something beyond self-interest alone." Halpin argued that common good is "a core value that we think organizes the entire political agenda for progressives."

    A progressive vision of the common good stands in stark contrast to the "you are on your own" mantra of the right. Government must pursue policies that benefit everyone. It must ensure that opportunities are abundant and that even those who have been left out and left behind can get the help they need to succeed.

    WHAT DOES A COMMON GOOD AGENDA LOOK LIKE?: A recent research study sponsored by the Faith and Progressive Policy Initiative at the Center for American Progress finds that American voters are increasingly worried about rising materialism, self-interest, and unethical behavior in our society. Seventy-one percent of voters strongly agree that Americans are too materialistic. Sixty-eight percent believe that government "should uphold the basic decency and dignity of all and take greater steps to help the poor and disadvantaged in America."

    Halpin and Teixeira have broadly outlined the contours of a common good agenda. They identify the following features: robust universal programs that expand opportunity and provide a true safety net in times of need, a 21st-century public infrastructure, a targeted populism that recognizes the ways in which corporate and power elites are unfairly enriching themselves, greater democratic control over globalization, and expanded opportunities for average families to save and build wealth. The research study found 72 percent of voters strongly agree that strengthening our economy over the long-term requires helping low-income families by providing a living wage, affordable health care, and adequate educational opportunities to help them get back on their feet.

    Tuesday, October 17, 2006

    RFID System Helps Houston VA Hospital Maintain Patient Safety


    RFID Journal
    By Beth Bacheldor

    Oct. 17, 2006—The Michael E. DeBakey Veteran Affairs Medical Center (MEDVAMC) is implementing an RFID-based system created to help protect and care for patients at the Houston veterans' hospital. RF Technologies' Safe Place system is designed to support the hospital's "Code Purple" initiative, which identifies patients at risk of falling, wandering off or otherwise endangering themselves, and outlines processes for handling their care.

    The hospital serves as the primary health-care provider for more than 112,000 veterans in southeast Texas. The Safe Place system includes purple patient wristbands with active RFID tags embedded in them, RFID interrogators, Windows XP-based software and 17-inch wall-mountable touch-screen computers. It also incorporates RF Technologies' Sensatec solution, consisting of an RFID-enabled sensor pad for patients to lie on.

    Caregivers will be able to utilize the system to locate a patient within a room, or to alert other hospital staffers if they themselves require assistance. In addition, the hospital plans to use the active RFID tags, which operate at dual frequencies of 262 MHz and 381 MHz, to track medical devices and other assets.

    MEDVAMC "has had a very strong history of being aware of patient safety," says Jack Marshall, director of health-care enterprise solutions at RF Technologies in Brookfield, Wisc. The hospital's Code Purple program has proven so successful, Marshall says, that other VA hospitals are implementing it as well. The Safe Place and Sensatec implementations are taking the initiative a step further, he says. MEDVAMC began the RFID implementation at the end of August and currently has 150 patient wristbands for use in the emergency room, as well as the mental-health and transitional-care units. Hospital staff members are presently being trained, Marshall says, with the system expected to go live this month.

    The tags within the wristbands emit signals every 10 seconds to nearby RFID interrogators, which ascertain the tags' unique ID numbers and relay that information to the Safe Place software. Nurses and other caregivers can check computers running Safe Place at each of the main staffing centers, as well as on remote LED indicators in the hallways, to confirm a patient's location in the room. With the LED indicators, which hang from the ceiling, the nurses can check a patient’s location status by merely by looking at the LEDs, instead of seeking out a centrally located computer. If a patient at risk of wandering off attempts to move out of the room, RFID antennas installed in doorways register such movement via the RFID wristbands and alert the software, flashing alarms on the LED monitors and sounding alarms throughout the unit. Additionally, the system causes the door to lock. The sensor pads work separately from the wristbands; if a patient tries to get out of bed, the pad senses the weight shift, and that information is relayed to the RFID interrogator and on to the software, allowing hospital staff to attend to the patient.

    Nurses and other caregivers working in the three units are being issued RFID-enabled pendants they can wear either around their necks or clipped to belts. When a nurse presses a pendant's button, it communicates with the RFID interrogators to sound an alarm and signal where they are—for example, in the event that the nurse needs help restraining a patient.


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    Monday, October 16, 2006

    A Thousand Marbles


    Sent by a friend: Oct. 16th, 2006

       "The older I get, the more I enjoy Saturday mornings. Perhaps it's the quiet solitude that comes with being the first to rise, or maybe it's the unbounded joy of not having to be at work. Either way, the first few hours of a Saturday morning are most enjoyable.

    A few weeks ago, I was shuffling toward the Garage with a steaming cup of coffee in one hand and the morning paper in the other. What began as a typical Saturday morning turned into one of those lessons that life seems to hand you from time to time.

    Let me tell you about it:

    I turned the dial up into the phone portion of the band on my ham radio in order to listen to a Saturday morning swap net. Along the way, I came across an older sounding chap, with a tremendous signal and a golden voice. You know the kind; he sounded like he should be in the broadcasting business. He was telling whom-ever he was talking with something about "a thousand marbles." I was intrigued and stopped to listen to what he had to say.

    "Well, Tom, it sure sounds like you're busy with your job. I'm sure they pay you well but it's a shame you have to be away from home and your family so much. Hard to believe a young fellow should have to work sixty or seventy hours a week to make ends meet. It's too bad you missed your daughter's "dance recital" he continued. "Let me tell you something that has helped me keep my own priorities."

    And that's when he began to explain his theory of a "thousand marbles." "You see, I sat down one day and did a little arithmetic. The average person lives to be Seventy-Five, some live more and some live less, but on average, folks live about seventy-five years. "Now then, I multiplied 75 times 52 and I came up with 3900, which is the number of Saturdays that the average person has in their entire lifetime. Now, stick with me, Tom, I'm getting to the important part.

    It took me until I was fifty-five years old to think about all this in any detail", he went on, "and by that time I had lived through over twenty-eight hundred Saturdays." "I got to thinking that if I lived to be seventy-five, I only had about a thousand of them left to enjoy. So I went to a toy store and bought every single marble they had. I ended up having to visit three toy stores to round up 1000 marbles. I took them home and put them inside a large, clear plastic container right here in the shack next to my gear."

    "Every Saturday since then, I have taken one marble out and thrown it away. I found that by watching the marbles diminish, I focused more on the really important things in life. There is nothing like watching your time here on this earth run out to help get your priorities straight."

    "Now let me tell you one last thing before I sign-off with you and take my lovely wife out for breakfast. This morning, I took the very last marble out of the container. I figure that if I make it until next Saturday then I have been given a little extra time. And the one thing we can all use is a little more time."

    "It was nice to meet you Tom, I hope you spend more time with your family, and I hope to meet you again here on the band. This is a 75 Year old Man, K9NZQ, clear and going QRT, good morning!"

    You could have heard a pin drop on the band when this fellow signed off.

    I guess he gave us all a lot to think about. I had planned to work on the antenna that morning, And then I was going to meet up with a few hams to work on the next club newsletter.. Instead, I went upstairs and woke my wife up with a kiss. "C'mon honey, I'm taking you and the kids to breakfast." "What brought this on?" she asked with a smile.

    "Oh, nothing special, it's just been a long time since we spent a Saturday together with the kids. And hey, can we stop at a toy store while we're out?

    I need to buy some marbles...

    A friend sent this to me, so I to you, my friend. And so, as one smart bear once said..."If you live to be a hundred, I want to live to be a hundred minus one day, so I never have to live without you." - Winnie the Pooh.

    Pass this on to all of your FRIENDS, even if it means sending it to the person that sent it to you. And if you receive this e-mail many times from many different people, it only means that you have many FRIENDS."

    Vista license only lets you reinstall your OS on new PCs twice


    If you're naive enough to buy a PC with Vista, Microsoft's new operating system, prepare to be reamed: the new license only lets you move it to one other PC before it locks forever. Break your PC twice, buy a new operating system. Nice to see Microsoft doing its level best to screw people who already have it rough.

    The first user of the software may reassign the license to another device one time. If you reassign the license, that other device becomes the "licensed device," reads the license for Windows Vista Home Basic, Home Premium, Ultimate, and Business. In other words, once a retail copy of Vista is installed on a PC, it can be moved to another system only once.

    [TechWeb Update] Vista Licenses Limit OS Transfers
    By Gregg Keizer, TechWeb Technology News

    [Update, Fri. Oct 13, 11:00 am:

    The initial version of this story erroneously mischaracterized the way Microsoft's Vista license applies to user of the OS in a virtual machine, stating that there was a blanket ban in effect. This is incorrect; we regret the error. The updated version of this story removes all references to a VM ban, including a change in the headline, removal of a virtual machine reference in the lead paragraph, and the deletion of the fifth and sixth paragraphs of the original story.]

    Microsoft has released licenses for the Windows Vista operating system that dramatically differ from those for Windows XP in that they limit the number of times that retail editions can be transferred to another device.

    The new licenses, which were highlighted by the Vista team on its official blog Tuesday, add new restrictions to how and where Windows can be used.

    "The first user of the software may reassign the license to another device one time. If you reassign the license, that other device becomes the "licensed device," reads the license for Windows Vista Home Basic, Home Premium, Ultimate, and Business. In other words, once a retail copy of Vista is installed on a PC, it can be moved to another system only once.

    The new policy is narrower than Windows XP's. In the same section, the license for Windows XP Home states: "You may move the Software to a different Workstation Computer. After the transfer, you must completely remove the Software from the former Workstation Computer." There is no limit to the number of times users can make this move. Windows XP Professional's license is identical.

    Although the Vista team's blog did not point out these changes, it did highlight others. "Two notable changes between Windows Vista license terms and those for Windows XP are: 1) failure of a validation check results in the loss of access to specific features; and 2) an increase in our warranty period from 90 days to 1 year, which brings Windows in line with most other Microsoft products," wrote Vista program manager Nick White.

    Specifically, the Vista license calls out the ramifications of a failed validation check of Vista.

    "The software will from time to time validate the software, update or require download of the validation feature of the software," it reads. "If after a validation check, the software is found not to be properly licensed, the functionality of the software may be affected."

    Vista's new anti-piracy technologies, collectively dubbed "Software Protection Platform," have met with skepticism by analysts and criticism by users. Under the new program, a copy of Vista that's judged to be in violation of its license, or is counterfeit, is disabled after a set period, leaving the user access only to the default Web browser, and then only for an hour at a time.

    Thursday, October 12, 2006

    Defend Science


    "Genuine science never proceeds from, or uses as its starting point, any set of subjective "beliefs," "opinions" or "faith-based edicts" handed down by religious or secular authorities and proclaimed to be beyond human questioning, testing and investigation.

    ...one thing the overwhelming majority of scientists have in common is their understanding that, when conducting investigation and applying the scientific method, it is essential to use as a starting point previously accumulated knowledge - the storehouse of well-established scientific evidence about reality which has previously been arrived at through concrete and systematic observation and experiment and has been subjected to rigorous review and testing."

    Wal - Mart Faces at Least $62M in Damages


    By The Associated Press
    Oct. 12, 2006

    Filed at 10:17 p.m. ET

    PHILADELPHIA (AP) -- A state jury found Thursday that Wal-Mart broke Pennsylvania labor laws by forcing employees to work through rest breaks and off the clock, a decision plaintiffs' lawyers said would result in at least $62 million in damages.

    Jurors will return Friday to determine damages in the class-action lawsuit, which covers up to 187,000 hourly current and former workers.

    ''I think it reinforces that this company's sweatshop mindset is a serious problem, both legally and morally,'' said Chris Kofinis, a spokesman for WakeUpWalMart.com, a union-funded effort to improve working conditions at the stores.

    The Bentonville, Ark.-based retail giant is facing a slew of similar suits around the country.

    Wal-Mart settled a Colorado case for $50 million and is appealing a $172 million award handed down last year by a California jury.

    The company declined to comment because of the pending deliberations over damages.

    ''Because the jury is still in deliberations, it would not be appropriate to comment on this matter until a decision is reached,'' Wal-Mart spokesman John Simley said.

    Plaintiffs' lawyer Michael Donovan also declined comment.

    The jury deliberated on the verdict for several hours over two days, after a five-week trial. Jurors found that Wal-Mart acted in bad faith but rejected claims that the company denied workers meal breaks.

    Wal-Mart, the nation's largest employer, earned $10 billion in 2004.

    The Pennsylvania case involves labor practices at Wal-Mart and Sam's Club stores between March 1998 and May 1, 2006.

    Lead plaintiff Dolores Hummel, who worked at a Sam's Club in Reading from 1992-2002, charged in her suit that she had to work through breaks and after quitting time to meet work demands in the bakery. She said she worked eight to 12 unpaid hours a month, on average, to meet work demands.

    ''One of Wal-Mart's undisclosed secrets for its profitability is its creation and implementation of a system that encourages off-the-clock work for its hourly employees ...'' Hummel said in her suit, which was filed in 2002.

    The plaintiffs used electronic evidence, such as systems that show when employees are signed on to cash registers and other machines, to help win class certification during several days of hearings last year.

    Wal-Mart had a corporate policy that gives hourly employees in Pennsylvania one paid 15-minute break during a shift of at least three hours and two such breaks, plus an unpaid 30-minute meal break, on a shift of at least six hours.

    In Memorium: For Keith McCullough: 1963-2005

    In Memorium: For Keith McCullough: 1963 - 2005


    What song can we sing now
    For the dearly departed
    Gone now is husband, father, and friend
    Keith had a clear voice, and friends for his life
    Nothing now lingers to fill up the void.

    Memories and laughter, remember the man
    Coming in there were many, assembled in time
    Left here for elsewhere, no visits allowed
    Sure are some cruel things
    To ask ourselves why.

    Many roads have been taken
    By all who were touched by
    The love of a man
    Who thought more of children
    Than time would allow.

    Remember she said, in fractured daylight
    We once had a husband, father and friend
    Now we have remnants without plans to combine
    Surely we need to, plan and decide
    Keith would have wanted, a whole home in sight.

    Shine on we sing out
    Let us go forth
    With patience and wisdom
    Guide us in sunlight, shelter at night,
    Let's not forget how, all life is worthwhile.

    Gone now is husband, father and friend,
    Let's not forget how, all life is worthwhile.
    - - -
    By Papa Richard: Sept 2006

    Wikipedia - Again available in China

    China unblocks Wikipedia, even though it won't censor it's content


    China has unblocked Wikipedia. Wikipedia refused to censor itself to appease totalitarian Beijing, but China unblocked it anyway. China needs Wikipedia and Chinese net-users would access it using circumvention tools -- the block on Wikipedia made Chinese Wikipedia users into automatic dissidents.

    If only Google, Microsoft and Yahoo had the same courage as Wikipedia, the same confidence that their search-engines were valuable enough to be indispensible.

    Wikipedia reported on its site that it had received word from multiple users in the country, on Chinese-forums.com, that the site had been restored. The most recent blocking was the third such outage reported by Wikipedia.

    Jimmy Wales to Beijing: Wikipedia won't censor


    Monday, Sept. 11, 2006

    Wikipedia founder Jimmy Wales has refused to censor the content on the Chinese version of Wikipedia, resulting in its being blocked by the Chinese government. Google, Yahoo and others have folded to demands from Beijing's totalitarian bureaucrats, but Wikipedia has stood firm. Predictably, Beijing has come to Wikipedia to ask them for some kind of peace-treaty, because China can ill-afford to block critical information resources if it is to remain economically strong. Jimmy Wales clarifies, "I *intend* to make a trip to China early next year, and I *intend* to meet with as high-level officials as I can. If only Google and Yahoo's executives were as confident in the importance of their services as Wales is of Wikipedia.

    Wales said censorship was ' antithetical to the philosophy of Wikipedia. We occupy a position in the culture that I wish Google would take up, which is that we stand for the freedom for information, and for us to compromise I think would send very much the wrong signal: that there's no one left on the planet who's willing to say "You know what? We're not going to give up."'

    Wikipedia's entry on the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989 includes the government's official claim that 200-300 died and the Chinese student associations and Chinese Red Cross's estimate of 2,000-3,000 deaths.

    Wales said: 'I think it's an interesting question whether they're prepared to understand the difference between advocating one set of figures or another versus simply reporting on what the controversy is. I can understand that they would be upset - although of course I still don't think they have any moral right to ban anything - if we were pushing one set of figures in contrast to their objections, but if we are reporting both, to me that's exactly what an encyclopaedia should do and they should be comfortable with that.'

    Note: Just so ! There was a time when I questioned whether I should put my thoughts in this blog. The State of Georgia, and especially my family, my neighbors, and the majority of people in my community vote Republican. They have pictures of Pres. G.W.Bush on their refrigerators. They still have 'W' bumper/windows stickers on their vehicles from 2004, and 2000. So by putting my orientation in this blog, I am subjecting myself, and my business to retribution by these folks. It would be 'safer' if I blogged about pastry-making, which I have a great deal of training and skill at; but a recipe for Buche de Noel does not compare in importance to the acquiesence to horrendous damage inflicted on America, and the World community by a considerable number of current office-holders.

    Most people who visit my website, and blog, spend less than a few minutes on the site. In fact, the average access is less than a minute. So I'm not at all convinced that what I post, or write here, will make any difference whatsoever, to me, or anyone else. But I will keep doing it regardless, because I want to project the righteous indignation I feel toward the abuses perpetuated upon humankind by fanatics, by extreme fundamentalists, or by anyone who fails to abide by the golden rule, stand up for simple courtesy, honesty, and respect for universal human rights.

    What it means to be a liberal

    What it means to be a liberal


    by Geoffrey R. Stone, Chicago Tribune

    "For most of the past four decades, liberals have been in retreat. Since the election of Richard Nixon in 1968, Republicans have controlled the White House 70 percent of the time and Republican presidents have made 86 percent of the U.S. Supreme Court appointments. In many quarters, the word "liberal" has become a pejorative. Part of the problem is that liberals have failed to define themselves and to state clearly what they believe. As a liberal, I find that appalling.

    In that light, I thought it might be interesting to try to articulate 10 propositions that seem to me to define "liberal" today. Undoubtedly, not all liberals embrace all of these propositions, and many conservatives embrace at least some of them. Moreover, because 10 is a small number, the list is not exhaustive. And ... these propositions will in some instances conflict... My goal, however, is not to end discussion, but to invite debate.

    1. Liberals believe individuals should doubt their own truths and consider fairly and open-mindedly the truths of others. This is at the very heart of liberalism. Liberals understand, as Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes once observed, that "time has upset many fighting faiths." Liberals are skeptical of censorship and celebrate free and open debate.

    2. Liberals believe individuals should be tolerant and respectful of difference. It is liberals who have supported and continue to support the civil rights movement, affirmative action, the Equal Rights Amendment and the rights of gays and lesbians...

    3. Liberals believe individuals have a right and a responsibility to participate in public debate. It is liberals who have championed and continue to champion expansion of the franchise; the elimination of obstacles to voting... They believe, with Justice Louis Brandeis, that "the greatest menace to freedom is an inert people."

    4. ...It is liberals who have defended and continue to defend the freedom of the press to investigate and challenge the government, the protection of individual privacy from overbearing government monitoring, and the right of individuals to reproductive freedom. (Note that libertarians, often thought of as "conservatives," share this value with liberals.)

    5. Liberals believe government must respect and affirmatively safeguard the liberty, equality and dignity of each individual. It is liberals who have championed and continue to champion the rights of racial, religious and ethnic minorities, political dissidents, persons accused of crime and the outcasts of society. It is liberals who have insisted on the right to counsel, a broad application of the right to due process of law and the principle of equal protection for all people.

    6. Liberals believe government has a fundamental responsibility to help those who are less fortunate. It is liberals who have supported and continue to support government programs to improve health care, education, social security, job training and welfare for the neediest members of society. It is liberals who maintain that a national community is like a family and that government exists in part to "promote the general welfare."

    7. Liberals believe government should never act on the basis of sectarian faith. It is liberals who have opposed and continue to oppose school prayer and the teaching of creationism in public schools and who support government funding for stem-cell research, the rights of gays and lesbians and the freedom of choice for women.

    8. Liberals believe courts have a special responsibility to protect individual liberties. It is principally liberal judges and justices who have preserved and continue to preserve freedom of expression, individual privacy, freedom of religion and due process of law. (Conservative judges and justices more often wield judicial authority to protect property rights and the interests of corporations, commercial advertisers and the wealthy.)

    9. Liberals believe government must protect the safety and security of the people, for without such protection liberalism is impossible. This, of course, is less a tenet of liberalism than a reply to those who attack liberalism. The accusation that liberals are unwilling to protect the nation from internal and external dangers is false. Because liberals respect competing values, such as procedural fairness and individual dignity, they weigh more carefully particular exercises of government power (such as the use of secret evidence, hearsay and torture), but they are no less willing to use government authority in other forms (such as expanded police forces and international diplomacy) to protect the nation and its citizens.

    10. Liberals believe government must protect the safety and security of the people, without unnecessarily sacrificing constitutional values. It is liberals who have demanded and continue to demand legal protections to avoid the conviction of innocent people in the criminal justice system, reasonable restraints on government surveillance of American citizens, and fair procedures to ensure that alleged enemy combatants are in fact enemy combatants. Liberals adhere to the view expressed by Brandeis some 80 years ago: "Those who won our independence ... did not exalt order at the cost of liberty."

    Consider this an invitation. Are these propositions meaningful? Are they helpful? Are they simply wrong? As a liberal, how would you change them or modify the list? As a conservative, how would you draft a similar list for conservatives?

    How to Deal With A Madman with Nuclear Weapons


    by Robert Reich - Oct. 11, 2006

    "The problem is North Korea is run by a madman who doesn’t seem to mind if his own people starve.

    The nation’s survival depends on two to three billion dollars of goods and money flowing in each year in order to feed and clothe the military and prevent a wholesale meltdown of the economy. But it’s already near meltdown.

    The (U.S.) administration’s idea would be to tighten the economic vise until – until what?

    You see, that’s the issue. Millions of people in that desolate land are already on the verge of starvation. Kim Jung Il doesn’t seem to care. At some point the economic vise could become so tight that even Kim’s military brass don’t get adequate food and clothing, and maybe that drives them to pop him off. But by that time, who knows how many North Koreans will have perished.

    Economics assumes people act rationality in their own self interest. But there’s no guarantee of rational decision-making in North Korea, no checks and balances, no high-level council of wise strategists. All power is centralized in Kim Jung Il, who may be nuts. And there’s no obvious successor.

    China holds the cards here. China is the only friend Kim Jung Il has in the world. He’s entirely dependent on his colossal neighbor for food and fuel. China doesn’t want his regime to collapse because the ensuing chaos would send millions of refugees steaming into China, and force a takeover of that desolate nation by South Korea. Not even South Korea wants the huge financial burden that would entail – making German reunification look cheap by comparison.

    But nor does China want a nuclear North Korea, because that might prompt Japan to adopt nuclear weapons to counter the threat, which could lead to South Korea and even Taiwan to do so, too. If China is smart it will bribe Kim Jung Il to give up his nuclear program.

    Kim Jung Il may not be rational, but the Chinese leadership is. And they’re our best hope now for a rational outcome to this mess.

    Wednesday, October 11, 2006

    Rep. Murtha had a comment...


    "They've tried to smear me, other veterans, Democrats, you and anybody who stands up to them. Well, let me say one thing right now: screw them. Those gravestones at Arlington cemetery don't say Democrat or Republican on them."

    Chambliss' office tops in paid trips


    By REBECCA CARR
    The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
    Published on: 10/11/06

    Washington — Georgia Republican Sen. Saxby Chambliss' office has logged more trips paid for by private interest groups than any other federal lawmaker's office, a new online database shows.

    The Center for Responsive Politics launched the database Tuesday on its Web site (www.opensecrets.org). It lists congressional travel from July 2005 to Aug. 21, 2006.

    Chambliss, the chairman of the Senate Agriculture Committee, or members of his staff — or in some cases, both — took 53 trips during that period at a cost of $84,431 to private groups.

    That places Chambliss first among lawmakers in terms of the number of congressional trips taken and second, behind Rep. Joe Barton (R-Texas), in terms of cost, according to the data amassed by the center from reports that are filed by lawmakers with the House Legislative Resource Center and the Senate Office of Public Records.

    Note: In Response:
    J. Krister Holladay, Chambliss' chief of staff, said the senator's staff has consistently filled out the travel disclosure forms correctly. Holladay defended the trips as necessary fact-finding missions to learn more about the state of agriculture and the impact that Washington regulations have on the state of Georgia, local businesses and farms.

    Most of the trips were taken by Chambliss' staff, Holladay said. They were intended to educate staff members about the legislative issues before Congress.
    The trips included a visit in January to Minnesota to hear concerns of the Minnesota Corn Growers Association. "It's hardly Bermuda," Holladay said.
    "I think it [the database] leaves a false perception about what the staff is doing," said Holladay, who estimated that the senator has more than 70 employees among the Agriculture Committee, his personal staff in Washington and his staff in Georgia.

    The senator prefers his staff to get out of the office to see how programs work so they can provide constituents with meaningful answers, Holladay said.


    Note: We report, you decide.

    Republicans Are Not Losing Because of "Mistakes"


    by Chris Bowers, Wed Oct 11, 2006 at 01:34:08 AM EST

    Note: There is a neato response to this article in the comments section - along the lines of: ...we can't end up with no government - if you stave the beast the only thing you end up with is an unprepared, imcompetent, patronage government - kinda like various government agencies we have now - like FEMA, the FCC, CDC, and the FDA.

    Tuesday, October 10, 2006

    Open Source: Former MS Guru David Stutz Resignation Letter
    Blast from the past:

    "Advice to Microsoft regarding commodity software"


    (c) 2003 David Stutz

    "The market for shrink-wrap PC software began its slow upmarket ooze into Christensen obsolescence right around the time that Microsoft really hit its stride. That was also the time of the Internet wave, a phenomenon that Microsoft co-opted without ever really internalizing into product wisdom. While those qualified to move the state of the art forward went down in the millennial flames of the dotcom crash, Microsoft's rigorous belief in the physics of business reality saved both the day and the profits. But the tide had turned, and a realization that "the net" was a far more interesting place than "the PC" began to creep into the heads of consumers and enterprises alike.

    During this period, most core Microsoft products missed the Internet wave, even while claiming to be leading the parade. Office has yet to move past the document abstraction, despite the world's widespread understanding that websites (HTML, HTTP, various embedded content types, and Apache mods) are very useful things. Windows has yet to move past its PC-centric roots to capture a significant part of the larger network space, although it makes a hell of a good client. Microsoft developer tools have yet to embrace the loosely coupled mindset that today's leading edge developers apply to work and play.

    Microsoft's reluctance to adopt networked ways is understandable. Their advantaged position has been built over the years by adhering to the tenet that software running on a PC is the natural point at which to integrate hardware and applications. Unfortunately, network protocols have turned out to be a far better fit for this middleman role, and Microsoft, intent on propping up the PC franchise, has had to resist fully embracing the network integration model. This corporate case of denial has left a vacuum, of course, into which hardware companies, enterprises, and disgruntled Microsoft wannabes have poured huge quantities of often inferior, but nonetheless requirements-driven, open source software. Microsoft still builds the world's best client software, but the biggest opportunity is no longer the client. It still commands the biggest margin, but networked software will eventually eclipse client-only software.

    As networked computing infrastructure matures, the PC client business will remain important in the same way that automotive manufacturers, rail carriers, and phone companies remained important while their own networks matured. The PC form factor will push forward; the Pocket PC, the Tablet PC, and other forms will emerge. But automakers, railroads, and phone companies actually manufacture their products, rather than selling intangible bits on a CD to hardware partners. Will Microsoft continue to convince its partners that software is distinctly valuable by itself? Or will the commodity nature of software turn the industry on its head? The hardware companies, who actually manufacture the machines, smell blood in the water, and the open source software movement is the result.

    Especially in a maturing market, software expertise still matters, and Microsoft may very well be able to sidestep irrelevance as it has in the past. The term "PC franchise" is not just a soundbite; the number of programs written for the PC that do something useful (drive a loom, control a milling machine, create a spreadsheet template, edit a recording...) is tremendous. But to continue leading the pack, Microsoft must innovate quickly. If the PC is all that the future holds, then growth prospects are bleak. I've spent a lot of time during the last few years participating in damage-control of various sorts, and I respect the need for serious adult supervision. Recovering from current external perceptions of Microsoft as a paranoid, untrustworthy, greedy, petty, and politically inept organization will take years. Being the lowest cost commodity producer during such a recovery will be arduous, and will have the side-effect of changing Microsoft into a place where creative managers and accountants, rather than visionaries, will call the shots.

    If Microsoft is unable to innovate quickly enough, or to adapt to embrace network-based integration, the threat that it faces is the erosion of the economic value of software being caused by the open source software movement. This is not just Linux. Linux is certainly a threat to Microsoft's less-than-perfect server software right now (and to its desktop in the not-too-distant future), but open source software in general, running especially on the Windows operating system, is a much bigger threat. As the quality of this software improves, there will be less and less reason to pay for core software-only assets that have become stylized categories over the years: Microsoft sells OFFICE (the suite) while people may only need a small part of Word or a bit of Access. Microsoft sells WINDOWS (the platform) but a small org might just need a website, or a fileserver. It no longer fits Microsoft's business model to have many individual offerings and to innovate with new application software. Unfortunately, this is exactly where free software excels and is making inroads. One-size-fits-all, one-app-is-all-you-need, one-api-and-damn-the-torpedoes has turned out to be an imperfect strategy for the long haul.

    Digging in against open source commoditization won't work - it would be like digging in against the Internet, which Microsoft tried for a while before getting wise. Any move towards cutting off alternatives by limiting interoperability or integration options would be fraught with danger, since it would enrage customers, accelerate the divergence of the open source platform, and have other undesirable results. Despite this, Microsoft is at risk of following this path, due to the corporate delusion that goes by many names: "better together," "unified platform," and "integrated software." There is false hope in Redmond that these outmoded approaches to software integration will attract and keep international markets, governments, academics, and most importantly, innovators, safely within the Microsoft sphere of influence. But they won't .

    Exciting new networked applications are being written. Time is not standing still. Microsoft must survive and prosper by learning from the open source software movement and by borrowing from and improving its techniques. Open source software is as large and powerful a wave as the Internet was, and is rapidly accreting into a legitimate alternative to Windows. It can and should be harnessed. To avoid dire consequences, Microsoft should favor an approach that tolerates and embraces the diversity of the open source approach, especially when network-based integration is involved. There are many clever and motivated people out there, who have many different reasons to avoid buying directly into a Microsoft proprietary stack. Microsoft must employ diplomacy to woo these accounts; stubborn insistence will be both counterproductive and ineffective. Microsoft cannot prosper during the open source wave as an island, with a defenses built out of litigation and proprietary protocols.

    Why be distracted into looking backwards by the commodity cloners of open source? Useful as cloning may be for price-sensitive consumers, the commodity business is low-margin and high-risk. There is a new frontier, where software "collectives" are being built with ad hoc protocols and with clustered devices. Robotics and automation of all sorts is exposing a demand for sophisticated new ways of thinking. Consumers have an unslakable thirst for new forms of entertainment. And hardware vendors continue to push towards architectures that will fundamentally change the way that software is built by introducing fine-grained concurrency that simply cannot be ignored. There is no clear consensus on systems or application models for these areas. Useful software written above the level of the single device will command high margins for a long time to come.

    Stop looking over your shoulder and invent something!

    Note: There is a very informative article on the open source software model available on Wikipedia.

    Monday, October 09, 2006

    The Essential Krugman: "The Paranoid Style"

    The Paranoid Style, by Paul Krugman, Commentary, NY Times



    "Last week Dennis Hastert, the speaker of the House, explained the real cause of the Foley scandal. “The people who want to see this thing blow up,” he said, “are ABC News and a lot of Democratic operatives, people funded by George Soros.” ...

    [I]t wasn’t his first outburst along these lines. Back in 2004, Mr. Hastert said: “You know, I don’t know where George Soros gets his money. I don’t know where — if it comes overseas or from drug groups or where it comes from.”

    Does Mr. Hastert really believe that George Soros and his operatives, conspiring with the evil news media, are responsible for the Foley scandal? Yes, he probably does. For one thing, demonization of Mr. Soros is widespread in right-wing circles. ...

    More generally, Mr. Hastert is a leading figure in a political movement ... historian Richard Hofstadter famously called “the paranoid style in American politics.” Hofstadter’s essay introducing the term was inspired by his observations of the radical right-wingers who seized control of the Republican Party in 1964. Today, the movement that nominated Barry Goldwater controls both Congress and the White House.

    As a result, political paranoia — the “sense of heated exaggeration, suspiciousness, and conspiratorial fantasy” Hofstadter described — has gone mainstream. To read Hofstadter’s essay today is to be struck by the extent to which he seems to be describing the state of mind not of a lunatic fringe, but of key figures in our political and media establishment.

    The “paranoid spokesman,” wrote Hofstadter, sees things “in apocalyptic terms. ... He is always manning the barricades of civilization.” Sure enough, Dick Cheney says that “the war on terror is a battle for the future of civilization.”

    According to Hofstadter, for the paranoids, “what is at stake is always a conflict between absolute good and absolute evil,” and because “the enemy is thought of as being totally evil and totally unappeasable, he must be totally eliminated.” Three days after 9/11, President Bush promised to “rid the world of evil.”

    The paranoid “demand for total triumph leads to the formulation of hopelessly unrealistic goals” — instead of focusing on Al Qaeda, we’ll try to remake the Middle East and eliminate a vast “axis of evil” — “and since these goals are not even remotely attainable, failure constantly heightens the paranoid’s sense of frustration.” Iraq, anyone?

    The current right-wing explanation for what went wrong in Iraq closely echoes Joseph McCarthy’s explanation for the Communist victory in China, which he said was “the product of a great conspiracy” at home. According to the right, things didn’t go wrong because the invasion was a mistake, or because Donald Rumsfeld didn’t send enough troops, or because the occupation was riddled with cronyism and corruption. No, it’s all because the good guys were stabbed in the back. Democrats, who undermined morale with their negative talk, and the liberal media, which refused to report the good news from Iraq, are responsible for the quagmire. ...

    Which brings us back to the Foley affair. The immediate response by nearly everyone in the Republican establishment — wild claims, without a shred of evidence behind them, that the whole thing is a Democratic conspiracy — may sound crazy. But that response is completely in character for a movement that from the beginning has been dominated by the paranoid style. And here’s the scary part: that movement runs our government.

    CLASS WARFARE IS TOO ONE-SIDED IN THIS COUNTRY


    Paul Krugman -

    "It's a brutal strategy. Once upon a time a company that treated its workers this badly would have made itself a prime target for union organizers. But Wal-Mart doesn't have to worry about that, because it knows that these days the people who are supposed to enforce labor laws are on the side of the employers, not the workers.

    Since 1935, U.S. workers considering whether to join a union have been protected by the National Labor Relations Act, which bars employers from firing workers for engaging in union activities. For a long time the law was effective: workers were reasonably well protected against employer intimidation, and the union movement flourished.

    In the 1970's, however, employers began a successful campaign to roll back unions. This campaign depended on routine violation of labor law: experts estimate that by 1980 employers were illegally firing at least one out of every 20 workers who voted for a union. But employers rarely faced serious consequences for their lawbreaking, thanks to America's political shift to the right. And now that the shift to the right has gone even further, political appointees are seeking to remove whatever protection for workers' rights that the labor relations law still provides.

    The Republican majority on the National Labor Relations Board, which is responsible for enforcing the law, has just declared that millions of workers who thought they had the right to join unions don't. You see, the act grants that right only to workers who aren't supervisors. And the board, ruling on a case involving nurses, has declared that millions of workers who occasionally give other workers instructions can now be considered supervisors.
    As the dissent from the Democrats on the board makes clear, the majority bent over backward, violating the spirit of the law, to reduce workers' bargaining power.

    So what's keeping paychecks down? Major employers like Wal-Mart have decided that their interests are best served by treating workers as a disposable commodity, paid as little as possible and encouraged to leave after a year or two. And these employers don't worry that angry workers will respond to their war on wages by forming unions, because they know that government officials, who are supposed to protect workers' rights, will do everything they can to come down on the side of the wage-cutters. " http://select.nytimes.com/2006/10/06/opinion/06krugman.html?pagewanted=print

    KRUGMAN : "The debate over the state of the middle class, for the most part, is about whether these numbers understate or overstate the true progress achieved by typical families. The optimists point to technological advances that, they argue, don't get reflected in official estimates of the standard of living. In 1973, you couldn't chat on a cellphone, watch a video or surf the Internet; many medical conditions that are now easily managed with drugs were untreatable; and so on.

    The pessimists point to ways in which life has deteriorated, things that also aren't counted by the official statistics. Traffic has gotten far worse, and commutes have gotten longer. The economic riskiness of life has increased: year-to-year fluctuations in family income have grown much larger. The rat race has intensified, as families, no longer confident in the quality of public education, stretch to buy houses in good school districts -- and often go bankrupt when misfortune strikes in the form of a layoff for either spouse or high medical bills.

    Does the good outweigh the bad? Never mind. As I said, the ambiguity is the message.

    Consider this: The United States economy is far richer and more productive than it was a generation ago. Statistics on economic growth aside, think of all the technological advances that have made workers more productive over the past generation. In 1973, there were no personal computers, let alone the Internet. Even fax machines were rare, expensive items, and there were no bar-code scanners at checkout counters. Freight containerization was still uncommon.

    The list goes on and on.

    Yet in spite of all this technological progress, which has allowed the average American worker to produce much more, we're not sure whether there was any rise in the typical worker's pay. Only those at the upper end of the income distribution saw clear gains -- gains that were enormous for the lucky few at the very top.

    That's why the debate over whether the middle class is a bit better off or a bit worse off now than a generation ago misses the point. What we should be debating is why technological and economic progress has done so little for most Americans, and what changes in government policies would spread the benefits of progress more widely. An effort to shore up middle-class health insurance, paid for by a rollback of recent tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans -- something like the plan proposed by John Kerry two years ago, but more ambitious -- would be a good place to start.

    Instead, the people running our government are fixated on cutting tax rates for the wealthy even further. And their solution to Americans' justified economic anxiety is a public relations campaign, an effort to convince middle-class families that their problems are a figment of their imagination." http://select.nytimes.com/search/restricted/article?res=F50C1EF939550C768DDDA00894DE404482

    INDEED : "The Republican-dominated National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) voted along party lines to slash long-time federal labor laws protecting workers' freedom to form unions and opened the door for employers to classify millions of workers as supervisors. Under federal labor law, supervisors are prohibited from forming unions.

    The NLRB ruled on three cases, collectively known as "Kentucky River," but it's the lead case Oakwood Healthcare Inc. that creates a new definition of supervisor. Dozens of cases involving the definition of supervisor now before the NLRB will be sent back, with employers having the option to craft arguments that will meet the new definition of supervisor and limit the number of workers who can join a union.

    Although the Oakwood decision covers only nurses, the expanded definition of superviors means up to 8 million workers, including nurses, building trades workers, newspaper and television employees and others may be barred from joining unions. In Oakwood, the board agreed with the employer that charge nurses are supervisors. But the ruling also sets broad definitions for determining who is a supervisor that invites employers to classify nurses and many low-level employees with minor authority as supervisors. The decision was issued Sept. 29 but not released until today.

    The board's new definition essentially enables employers to make a supervisor out of any worker who has the authority to assign or direct another and uses independent judgment. Amazingly, the board also ruled that a worker can be classified as a supervisor if he or she spends as little as 10 percent to 15 percent of his or her time overseeing the work of others.

    AFL-CIO President John Sweeney calls the decisions "outrageous and unjustified."

    It's the latest example of how the Bush-appointed NLRB is prepared to use legal maneuvering to deny as many workers as possible their basic right to have a voice on the job through their union. The NLRB should protect workers' rights, not eliminate them. If the administration expects us to take this quietly, they're mistaken.

    This week, working people are coming together in the streets in cities across the nation to make sure everyone knows that the Bush administration is slashing workers' right to have a voice on the job.

    In their dissent, NLRB members Wilma Liebman and Dennis Walsh say the decision "threatens to create a new class of workers under federal labor law-workers who have neither the genuine prerogatives of management, nor the statutory rights of ordinary employees." Liebman and Walsh wrote that most professionals and other workers could fall under the new definition of supervisor, "who by 2012 could number almost 34 million, accounting for 23.3 percent of the workforce." They go on to say that the Republican majority did not follow what Congress intended in applying the National Labor Relations Act: [. . .]

    Vanessa Quinn, a member of Communications Workers of America (CWA) Local 1133 and an emergency room nurse in Kenmore, N.Y., near Buffalo, says expanding the definition of supervisor will be disastrous for nurses:

    In Buffalo, recruiting is already a problem. If we can't get young people into nursing, we're in trouble. They need to know they can go into this profession and take care of a family. Without union protection, pay will not be competitive.

    AFT and AFT Healthcare in a statement also say the decisions will jeopardize health care:

    If nurses and other skilled workers are considered supervisors and lose union protection, they would be extremely reluctant to speak out about patient care problems out of fear of being fired or disciplined.

    The ramifications of this case are extremely serious; the decision could have a significant impact on the quality of patient care and workers' rights.

    Michael Verbil, a member of Theatrical Stage Employees (IATSE) Local 412 in Sarasota, Fla., and master electrician, says the decisions are an attempt to weaken unions: Since I've joined the union we've been able to get all of our contracts to include pension and health benefits, which didn't exist before the union. I see this as another push from the government to whittle away at the union's base. It just doesn't make sense. This could destroy the working conditions we've fought so hard to achieve. We're talking about millions of people who could lose their ability to negotiate with their employer, and that is just wrong.

    A group of 13 religious leaders wrote the NLRB last month expressing deep concern over the impending decisions. The letter read in part:
    Our religious traditions support workers' right to organize and bargain collectively. We support proposals that expand coverage and access to collective bargaining rather than limit it. We believe that all persons are created in the image of God and as such their work unites them with others and should be endowed with dignity, equality and justice. In the workplace, collective bargaining is the most effective process for workers to express this dimension of their humanity.

    Speaking at a Sept. 22 conference on the possible impact of the Kentucky River cases, Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.) condemned the NLRB's refusal to conduct oral arguments in these cases:

    These decisions could very well change the basic rights of American workers.

    Given the stakes, the NLRB needs to be as thorough as possible in hearing testimony. The fact that the NLRB has not held hearings shows that the board is not taking this case as seriously as it should. At the heart of the issue is the right of workers to organize, to bargain collectively and to share in decisions.

    CWA member Quinn agrees: We were just asking to be heard, I don't know how you get a fair deal when you can't be heard.

    These decisions are just the latest in a string of anti-worker rulings by an agency charged with protecting workers' rights.

    The Republican-controlled NLRB already has taken away the rights of university graduate assistants, workers with disabilities and temporary workers to join a union. And the board, which is supposed to protect workers' rights has made a series of consistent rulings backing employers' rights, while ignoring workers' concerns." http://blog.aflcio.org/2006/10/03/labor-board-ruling-may-bar-millions-of-workers-from-forming-unions/

    KRUGMAN : "I've written about the V.A. before; it was the subject of a recent informative article in Time. Some still think of the V.A. as a decrepit institution, which it was in the Reagan and Bush I years. But thanks to reforms begun under Bill Clinton, it's now providing remarkably high-quality health care at remarkably low cost.

    The key to the V.A.'s success is its long-term relationship with its clients: veterans, once in the V.A. system, normally stay in it for life.

    This means that the V.A. can easily keep track of a patient's medical history, allowing it to make much better use of information technology than other health care providers. Unlike all but a few doctors in the private sector, V.A. doctors have instant access to patients' medical records via a systemwide network, which reduces both costs and medical errors.

    The long-term relationship with patients also lets the V.A. save money by investing heavily in preventive medicine, an area in which the private sector -- which makes money by treating the sick, not by keeping people healthy -- has shown little interest.

    The result is a system that achieves higher customer satisfaction than the private sector, higher quality of care by a number of measures and lower mortality rates -- at much lower cost per patient. Not surprisingly, hundreds of thousands of veterans have switched from private physicians to the V.A. The commander of the American Legion has proposed letting elderly vets spend their Medicare benefits at V.A. facilities, which would lead to better medical care and large government savings.

    Instead, the Bush administration has restricted access to the V.A. system, limiting it to poor vets or those with service-related injuries. And as for allowing elderly vets to get better, cheaper health care: ''Conservatives,'' writes Time, ''fear such an arrangement would be a Trojan horse, setting up an even larger national health-care program and taking more business from the private sector.''

    Think about that: they won't let vets on Medicare buy into the V.A. system, not because they believe this policy initiative would fail, but because they're afraid it would succeed.

    Meanwhile, the Bush administration is pursuing a failed idea from the 1990's: channeling Medicare recipients into private H.M.O.'s. The theory was that H.M.O.'s, by bringing private-sector efficiency and the magic of the marketplace to health care, would be able to do what the V.A. has achieved in practice: provide better care at lower cost.

    But the theory was wrong. Years of experience show that H.M.O.'s actually have substantially higher costs per patient than conventional Medicare, because they add an expensive extra layer of bureaucracy and also spend heavily on marketing. H.M.O.'s for Medicare recipients prospered for a while by selectively covering relatively healthy older Americans, but when the government began paying less for those likely to have low medical costs, many H.M.O.'s dropped out of the Medicare market." http://select.nytimes.com/search/restricted/article?res=F00C13F6345A0C778CDDA00894DE404482

    MORE KRUGMAN : "Between 2000 and 2005, the number of Americans with private health insurance coverage fell by 1 percent. But over the same period, employment at health insurance companies rose a remarkable 32 percent. What are all those extra employees doing?

    Now we know at least part of the answer: they're working harder than ever at identifying people who really need medical care, and ensuring that they don't get it. In the past, they mainly concentrated on screening out applicants likely to get sick. Now, it seems, they're also devoting a lot of effort to finding pretexts for revoking insurance after they've already granted it. They typically do this by claiming that they weren't notified about some pre-existing condition, even if the insured wasn't aware of that condition when he or she bought the policy.

    Welcome to the ugly world of American health care economics." http://select.nytimes.com/search/restricted/article res=F10B17F73A550C718EDDA00894DE404482

    CHILD CARE : "What kind of society have we become? Before members of Congress departed for recess, they gave President George W. Bush-hardly known for his wisdom or compassion-the right to define what constitutes torture and to suspend the constitutional right of habeas corpus. But our elected representatives couldn't find time to pass the Labor, Health and Human Service appropriations bill which, among things, funds child care.

    The "Care Crisis"-the absence of anyone to care for America's children, elderly and disabled-has turned into the new millennium's version of the "Problem That Has No Name," Child care is part of that larger Care Crisis. It is the 800-pound elephant that sits in Congress, our homes and offices-gigantic, but ignored.
    And, it keeps getting worse. According to a new 50-state report on child care policies just released by the National Women's Law Center, the Bush administration has successfully dismantled government services for children. State funds for child care assistance have fallen for the fifth year in a row. The problem will soon become catastrophic when large numbers of single mothers bump up against their five-year life limit on welfare.

    The report portrays a bleak picture of our national child care deficit. Nancy Duff Campbell, co-president of NWLC, says that: "The new federal welfare work requirement [passed this year] creates more demand for child care assistance without providing enough funding to meet that demand." No big surprise here.

    Many of us always knew that the elimination of guaranteed welfare-replaced by Temporary Assistance to Need Families -was designed to reduce the number of women on the welfare rolls, not to reduce poverty.

    The report also finds that states are failing to adequately compensate providers. Helen Blank, NWLC director of leadership and public policy, describes the consequences of paying child care workers such poor wages:

    Low-income children are denied critical early learning experiences. Parents find it difficult to access the child care they need to work. And providers, who are often low-income women themselves, face earning less or going out of business.

    Poor working mothers face other barriers as well. Two-thirds of the states have raised the income eligibility and copayments for child care and 18 states have long waiting lists. All of these barriers to adequate childcare make it extremely difficult for women to work, feel confident that their children are safe and to get off welfare.

    But do either Democrats or Republicans think this constitutes a threat to the national security of our society? No. In fact, more than three decades after Congress passed-and President Richard Nixon vetoed-the 1971 comprehensive child care legislation, child care has all but dropped off the national political agenda. And, with each passing year, the child care crisis only grows larger, burdening the lives of working mothers. But it never reaches our nation's political agenda." http://coffeehouse.tpmcafe.com/blog/coffeehouse/2006/oct/04/the_care_crisis

    Saturday, October 07, 2006

    Finally ! Jon Stewart explores how the President describes his job


    (on a YouTube video)

    Friday, October 06, 2006

    Windows Vista To Take New Tough Line On Counterfeits


    By Gregg Keizer, TechWeb
    Oct. 4, 2006


    Microsoft on Wednesday unveiled anti-piracy plans for Windows Vista that take tougher measures against users of counterfeit software, including limiting protection against spyware and incapacitating the PC. Not everyone welcomed the measures. One analyst says Microsoft's new activation requirements will simply give legitimate users another reason not to upgrade to the new operating system.

    Windows Vista, which Microsoft has said will ship to business customers in November and to consumers in January 2007, will be the first operating system to include technologies that the Redmond, Wash. developer called "Software Protection Platform."

    Under the new plan, counterfeit copies of Vista will not run the Aero interface, the OS's much-touted updated graphics look; will disable ReadyBoost, a feature that lets users add memory to systems by plugging in a USB flash drive; and will cripple Windows Defender, the anti-spyware protection tucked inside Vista. Previously, Microsoft had said it would strip some features, including Aero, from non-genuine Vista, although Defender was not among those mentioned.

    Product activation, which debuted in 2001 with Windows XP, but is now part of Software Protection, will also be dramatically revamped. If a copy of Vista is not activated within 30 days, the operating system will only let the user run the default browser, and then only for an hour at a time before logging off. Legitimate copies that for some reason later fail the ongoing validation tests will have another 30 days to re-activate or purchase a new license before the PC slips into what Microsoft dubbed "reduced functionality," while copies detected as fake during the validation process will also be downgraded after 30 days. In addition, users of genuine Vista must reactivate within three days of "a major hardware replacement," said Microsoft, or face a crippled computer.

    "This is actually a little more open in Vista [than in Windows XP]," said Cori Hartje, the director of Microsoft's Genuine Software Initiative. "Today, if you don't put in a key [within 30 days], you can't use the computer at all."

    "But is she talking about validation or activation?" asked Joe Wilcox, analyst with JupiterResearch, who thinks Microsoft is making the wrong move at the wrong time and giving legitimate users another reason not to upgrade to the new OS.

    In the Software Protection Platform, the two -- validation and activation -- which were separate entities in Windows XP, will be intertwined. "The Software Protection Platform brings together new anti-piracy innovations, counterfeit detection practices and tamper resistance into a complete platform that provides better software protection to programs that use it," Microsoft said in the white paper it released Wednesday (file in Word .doc format).

    Microsoft will also extend activation and validation to enterprise volume license users for the first time with Vista, said Hartje, and require them with Windows Server "Longhorn," the server software follow-on. "One of the big holes we've had [in our anti-piracy efforts] is in our volume keys. It's a very open process, with the keys in clear text and easily stolen and misused," Hartje said.

    Volume licensees will be required to manage keys and run activation using one of two services, KMS (Key Management Service) or MAK (Multiple Activation Key), with the former targeting shops with more than 25 machines that are always connected to the organization's network. MAK, on the other hand, is similar to the retail product activation keys, and lets one Windows PC connected to Microsoft to vouch for multiple machines.

    "Why do you need two mechanisms?" asked Wilcox. "I think that [enterprise IT] management becomes much harder now. Microsoft's increasing the complexity of Vista, which decreases its appeal compared to XP."

    "The process of setting up key management is really very straight-forward," countered Hartje.

    The crackdown, she said, is necessary to protect users and Microsoft's OEMs. "We need this to protect consumers and partners. Consumers want to make sure they get what they've paid for."

    Wilcox, however, sees it as a mistake. "Microsoft's making software potentially harder to use. I don't think it's a good move for them to make things hard when competitors are making things easier."

    As examples, Wilcox cited the free or low-cost choices that users now have via the Web. "Web 2.0 is bringing change to how people consume technology, you have all this stuff that's available for low-cost or free. Contrast that to what Microsoft is doing on the desktop, putting potentially onerous safeguards on Vista.

    "It's important for Microsoft to make Vista as appealing as possible. But how appealing is it when you go up to your new home and you have to undo five locks to get in the door and there are bars on all the windows?"

    Wilcox also slammed Microsoft for scaling back Windows Defender's protection. "That means it's partly disabled. It means [bad] stuff can still get through. Either your priority is security, as Microsoft has repeatedly said, or it's not. There's no gray area."

    On a counterfeit copy of Vista, Windows Defender will not be turned off, but only "severe, high-critical patches" will be provided, said Hartje. "Users will still see the other patches to show them what they're missing," she added.

    In the end, said Hartje, Microsoft believes that the new measures of Software Protection are warranted, and won't impact legitimate users. "We don't expect that end users will see any of these issues," she said.

    Wilcox sees it differently. "I don't believe it when Microsoft says this will benefit the customer. I can't imagine that the majority [of customers] are asking for this.

    "Microsoft has two fierce competitors. Itself is the first, with 'good enough' [attitudes] and difficulty in convincing people to upgrade. The second is piracy.

    "They may be going after one at the expense of the other."

    Defense Department Study Clears Hurdle to U.S. Wind Power Development


    October 5, 2006
    Reporting by Roddy Scheer

    A much-anticipated and long-overdue study by the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) released last week concludes that large wind energy projects can move forward as long as developers take precautions against interfering with military radar installations. A lawsuit filed by the Sierra Club in June accused DoD of instituting a near-moratorium on the construction of new wind power facilities by failing to complete the study, which Congress passed last year as part of the National Defense Authorization Act. Without the study, at least a dozen wind farm projects were stalled, encompassing more than 600 individual windmills and capable of producing 1,000 megawatts of power.

    Environmentalists are optimistic that DoD’s new guidelines will allow wind power developers to restart their clean energy projects and further reduce America’s reliance on foreign oil. “The Sierra Club will hold DoD to its word that wind farms with potential impacts on radar will be reviewed to find ways to make them work—not to shut them down,” says Kristin Henry, a staff attorney at the Sierra Club. “With proper siting, wind farms and military readiness can clearly co-exist.”

    Also see here for more information; or here.

    Thursday, October 05, 2006


    New York Skyline 2006

    Note: And according to the US Census, we are rapidly approaching an America consisting of 300 million people. Of course that is still less than 5% of the earth's total population.

    Tuesday, October 03, 2006

    Robert Reich says Democrats should not shy away from talking about inequality:


    Robert Reich Blog: Oct. 3nd, 2006

    "Democrats Should Talk About Inequality", by Robert Reich

    There’s a debate brewing in the Democratic Party about whether to talk about the nation’s widening inequality. Some Democratic strategists say that’s too risky. Most of America’s vast middle class wants and expects to be rich some day themselves. Talk about widening inequality and you risk sounding too negative.

    That conventional wisdom is wrong. In September’s Wall Street Journal- NBC News poll, inequality ranked as the second most important economic issue, right after the cost of gas and energy.

    A few months ago when Congress was debating whether to raise the minimum wage, polls showed 85 percent of the public in favor. And about 80 percent of Americans polled by the Los Angeles Times and Bloomberg said CEOs are overpaid.

    Remember what happened last year when Congress debated the Central American Free Trade Act? Despite a heavy lobbying blitz from the White House and business, it squeaked by with a margin of just two votes in the House. Polls show most Americans no longer favor of free trade because they think it’s hurting the wages of average people.

    The fact is, we haven’t experienced inequality on this scale since the 1920s – by some measures since the age of the Robber Barons in the 1890s.

    The American economy has been growing nicely. Corporate profits are up. Top executives are raking in eight-digit compensation packages. But the paychecks of most people haven’t budged. Median household earnings are actually below what they were in 1999. Meanwhile, the costs of energy, health insurance, and college tuitions are skyrocketing.

    So don’t be surprised if you hear lots of Democratic candidates and maybe even a few Republicans talk about restoring fairness to the economy. That means at a minimum: rolling back the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, raising the minimum wage, lifting the ceiling on earnings subject to Social Security payroll taxes, and cutting taxes on the middle class. The new political motto: It’s fairness, stupid.

    Reply Posted by Mark Thoma on October 3, 2006 at 05:05 PM in Economicsview.com

    "I'm not as sure as he is that this is a winning message for Democrats. I would prefer to focus on unequal opportunity and unfair rules (e.g. tax policy) that lead to the unequal outcomes rather than focusing on the outcomes themselves. Simply claiming that the outcome is unfair without accompanying justification is easily misrepresented as jealousy and a desire to take away the result of an individual's hard work and good fortune. But if the outcome is the result of preferential policy for some groups, power relationships, unequal educational opportunities, unequal changes in tax burdens, and so on, then it is harder to dismiss the call for equity."

    Hey "Journalists"...do some real research before jabbering !


  • Hackers claim 'un-repairable' security flaw in Firefox
  • Hackers claim zero-day flaw in Firefox
    CNET News.com, CA - Sep 30, 2006
    Mozilla is investigating claims by hackers that the Firefox Web browser has a serious flaw in the way it handles JavaScript. By Joris Ever
  • Hackers claim zero-day flaw in Firefox
    USA Today - 1 hour ago
    SAN DIEGO, Calif. — The open-source Firefox Web browser is critically flawed in the way it handles JavaScript, two hackers said Saturday afternoon. ...
  • Security on Firefox seems poorer than it should be
    Earthtimes.org - Oct 2, 2006
    The open source web browser Firefox is a mess as far as it's handling of JavaScript is concerned, two hackers revealed on Saturday. ...


    Note: However, when questioned more precisely by the Mozilla development team, this is what one of the perps said:


    "The main purpose of our talk was to be humorous.

    As part of our talk we mentioned that there was a previously known Firefox vulnerability that could result in a stack overflow ending up in remote code execution. However, the code we presented did not in fact do this, and I personally have not gotten it to result in code execution, nor do I know of anyone who has.

    I have not succeeded in making this code do anything more than cause a crash and eat up system resources, and I certainly haven’t used it to take over anyone else’s computer and execute arbitrary code.

    I do not have 30 undisclosed Firefox vulnerabilities, nor did I ever make this claim. I have no undisclosed Firefox vulnerabilities. The person who was speaking with me made this claim, and I honestly have no idea if he has them or not.

    I apologize to everyone involved, and I hope I have made everything as clear as possible.
    Sincerely,
    Mischa Spiegelmock


  • Monday, October 02, 2006

    The Essential Krugman: Things Fall Apart

    The Essential Krugman: "Things Fall Apart"


    Commentary, NY Times, Oct. 1, 2006

    "In his book “What’s the Matter With Kansas? How Conservatives Won the Heart of America,” [Thomas] Frank argued that America’s right wing had developed a permanent winning strategy based on the use of “values” issues to mobilize white working-class voters against a largely mythical cultural elite, while actually pursuing policies designed to benefit a small economic elite.

    It was and is a brilliant analysis. But the political strategy Mr. Frank described may have less staying power than he feared. ... At its core, the political axis is an alliance between the preachers and the plutocrats — between the religious right, which hates gays, abortion and the theory of evolution, and the economic right, which hates Social Security, Medicare and taxes on rich people. Surrounding this core is a large periphery of politicians and lobbyists who joined the movement not out of conviction, but to share in the spoils.

    Together, these groups formed a seemingly invincible political coalition... The coalition has, however, always been more vulnerable than it seemed, because it was an alliance based not on shared goals, but on each group’s belief that it could use the other to get what it wants. Bring that belief into question, and the whole thing falls apart.

    Future historians may date the beginning of the right-wing crackup to the days immediately following the 2004 election, when President Bush tried to convert a victory won by portraying John Kerry as weak on defense into a mandate for Social Security privatization. The attempted bait-and-switch failed in the face of overwhelming public opposition. ...

    And the religious and cultural right, which boasted of having supplied the Bush campaign with its “shock troops” and expected a right-wing cultural agenda in return — starting with a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage — was dismayed when the administration put its energy into attacking the welfare state instead. James Dobson, the founder and chairman of Focus on the Family, accused Republicans of “just ignoring those that put them in office.”

    It will be interesting, by the way, to see how Dr. Dobson, who declared of Bill Clinton that “no man has ever done more to debase the presidency,” responds to the Foley scandal. Does the failure of Republican leaders to do anything about a sexual predator in their midst outrage him as much as a Democratic president’s consensual affair?

    In any case, just as the religious right was feeling betrayed ..., the economic right suddenly seemed to become aware of the nature of its political allies. “Where in the hell did this Terri Schiavo thing come from?” asked Dick Armey, the former House majority leader... The answer, he said, was “blatant pandering to James Dobson.” He went on, “Dobson and his gang of thugs are real nasty bullies.” ...

    So the right-wing coalition is showing signs of coming apart. It seems that we’re not in Kansas anymore. In fact, Kansas itself doesn’t seem to be in Kansas anymore. Kathleen Sebelius, the state’s Democratic governor, has achieved a sky-high favorability rating by focusing on good governance rather than culture wars, and her party believes it will win big this year.

    And nine former Kansas Republicans, including Mark Parkinson, the former state G.O.P. chairman, are now running for state office as Democrats. Why did Mr. Parkinson change parties? Because he “got tired of the theological debate over whether Charles Darwin was right.”